Jets
8–35
NYJ @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · 2025 Week 18 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
NYJ 23%77% BUF
21.8%GROUND74.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Cook | 24 | -0.30 | 29.2% | 4.2% | -7.3 | 3.3 | 50.0% | 69.9% | -19.9 |
| M.Trubisky | 30 | +0.77 | 66.7% | 0.0% | +23.0 | 6.6 | 78.6% | 65.9% | +12.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NYJ | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.28 | +0.34 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.30 | +0.77 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.26 | +0.01 |
| Success Rate | 32.6% | 60.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 15.2% | 39.1% |
| Yards / Play | 2.65 | 6.87 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.29 | +0.30 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 37.5% | 58.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.2 | 4.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.65 | 4.17 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 54.5% | 63.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.7% | 15.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 30.0 | 29.4 |
| Plays | 46 | 69 |
| Total Yards | 122 | 474 |
| Total EPA | -13.1 | +23.4 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
Jets won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
NYJ 76%24% BUF
4.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS1.4 pts won
Biggest swing · M.Wishnowsky kicks 62 yards from BUF 35 to NYJ 3. I.Williams pushed ob at BUF 48 for 49 yards — NYJ +1.4
Kickoffs · NYJ +2.9Punts · NYJ +0.2Kicks · BUF +0.1
Player Stats
NYJ
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady CookQB | 24 | 11/22 | 58 | 2.4 | -7.3 | -0.30 | -19.9 | 29% | -0.11 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arian SmithWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.46 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brady CookQB | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -0.6 | -0.29 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Khalil HerbertRB | 12 | 42 | 3.5 | -1.3 | -0.11 | 42% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Kene NwangwuRB | 7 | 18 | 2.6 | -3.4 | -0.49 | 29% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin SkinnerWR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +1.3 | +1.26 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| John Metchie IIIWR | 4 | 3 | 20 | 5.0 | +0.8 | +0.20 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Andrew BeckFB | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | +0.3 | +0.16 | 50% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Kene NwangwuRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.85 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Arian SmithWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -0.50 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Isaiah WilliamsWR | 7 | 5 | 24 | 3.4 | -1.3 | -0.18 | 29% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Adonai MitchellWR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.4 | -0.80 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Khalil HerbertRB | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2.0 | -3.2 | -1.61 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin McNamaraP | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin McNamaraP | 5 | 211 | 42.2 | 41.8 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah WilliamsWR | 5 | 142 | 28.4 | 49 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell TrubiskyQB | 30 | 22/29 | 268 | 8.9 | +23.0 | +0.77 | +12.7 | 67% | +0.20 | 4 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DavisRB | 21 | 151 | 7.2 | +5.7 | +0.27 | 62% | +0.09 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +0.8 | +0.39 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Reggie GilliamRB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -0.3 | -0.13 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 13 | 36 | 2.8 | -4.5 | -0.35 | 54% | -0.06 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keleki LatuTE | 3 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | +5.8 | +1.92 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 7 | 5 | 41 | 5.9 | +5.5 | +0.78 | 71% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +4.9 | +2.46 | 100% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Ray DavisRB | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +3.3 | +1.64 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | +2.8 | +1.40 | 100% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 3 | 3 | 48 | 16.0 | +2.4 | +0.80 | 67% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Reggie GilliamRB | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | +1.3 | +1.29 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 4 | 2 | 49 | 12.3 | +0.8 | +0.21 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Jackson HawesTE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.72 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Josh PalmerWR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.3 | -1.9 | -0.63 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | — | — | 3/3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Mitch WishnowskyP | — | — | — | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 22 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon ColemanWR | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |