Saints
17–19
NO @ ATL
Falcons
Final · Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · 2025 Week 18 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Ground Share
Saints had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NO 56%44% ATL
41.4%GROUND33.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Shough | 42 | -0.14 | 38.1% | 9.5% | -5.7 | 8.2 | 67.7% | 69.3% | -1.7 |
| K.Cousins | 36 | -0.16 | 41.7% | 11.1% | -5.7 | 7.5 | 60.0% | 66.6% | -6.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NO | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.11 | -0.24 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.14 | -0.16 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.08 | -0.43 |
| Success Rate | 36.8% | 33.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.0% | 13.3% |
| Yards / Play | 5.00 | 3.50 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.14 | -0.30 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.9% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.1 | 9.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.77 | 1.79 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 30.4% | 36.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 21.7% | 22.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.2% | 21.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 25.3 | 42.2 |
| Plays | 68 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 340 | 210 |
| Total EPA | -7.2 | -14.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Special Teams
Falcons dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
NO 16%84% ATL
2.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS13.4 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Smyth 56 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — ATL +3.7
Kickoffs · NO +0.3Punts · ATL +4.6Kicks · ATL +6.5
Player Stats
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler ShoughQB | 42 | 23/35 | 266 | 6.3 | -5.7 | -0.14 | -1.7 | 38% | -0.20 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan HullRB | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.3 | +0.13 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Audric EstiméRB | 21 | 63 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -0.10 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audric EstiméRB | 5 | 5 | 43 | 8.6 | +3.0 | +0.60 | 60% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Dante PettisWR | 5 | 5 | 60 | 12.0 | +2.4 | +0.48 | 60% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Taysom HillTE | 3 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | +1.7 | +0.56 | 67% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Juwan JohnsonTE | 5 | 3 | 61 | 12.2 | +1.3 | +0.26 | 40% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Ronnie BellWR | 4 | 2 | 23 | 5.8 | +1.2 | +0.30 | 25% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Kevin Austin Jr.WR | 9 | 4 | 37 | 4.1 | -2.0 | -0.22 | 33% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Samori ToureWR | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | -8.7 | -2.90 | 0% | -0.30 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie SmythK | 1/2(29 · missed 56) | 29 | 2/2 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai KroegerP | 5 | 203 | 40.6 | 35.4 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan HullRB | 3 | 78 | 26.0 | 28 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante PettisWR | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 14 | 0 |
| Nyheim HinesRB | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 11 | 0 |
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk CousinsQB | 36 | 18/31 | 161 | 4.5 | -5.7 | -0.16 | -6.6 | 42% | -0.12 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 7 | 16 | 2.3 | -3.0 | -0.43 | 14% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 15 | 33 | 2.2 | -5.7 | -0.38 | 20% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake LondonWR | 8 | 4 | 78 | 9.8 | +4.5 | +0.56 | 50% | +0.12 | 1 |
| David SillsWR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.0 | +0.04 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Darnell MooneyWR | 7 | 3 | 20 | 2.9 | -0.4 | -0.05 | 29% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Kyle PittsTE | 9 | 6 | 58 | 6.4 | -0.7 | -0.07 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | -0.8 | -0.28 | 67% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -0.9 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane GonzalezK | 4/4(40, 51, 38, 38) | 51 | 1/1 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley PinionP | 4 | 229 | 57.3 | 50.3 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deven ThompkinsWR | 2 | 42 | 21.0 | 25 | 0 |
| Dylan DrummondWR | 1 | 31 | 31.0 | 31 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deven ThompkinsWR | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 15 | 0 |