Chargers
3–19
LAC @ DEN
Broncos
Final · Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · 2025 Week 18 · Empower Field at Mile High
Ground Share
Broncos controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
LAC 41%59% DEN
25.1%GROUND35.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Lance | 45 | -0.68 | -30.6 | 9.6 | 48.8% | 63.6% | -11.0 |
| B.Nix | 27 | -0.21 | -5.8 | 1.1 | 60.9% | 73.5% | -12.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | LAC | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.42 | -0.19 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.52 | -0.07 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.09 | -0.35 |
| Success Rate | 27.9% | 35.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 14.7% | 21.1% |
| Yards / Play | 3.19 | 4.25 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.42 | -0.21 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.0 | 7.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.79 | 2.25 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 31.3% | 43.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 18.8% | 30.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.7% | 12.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.9 | 32.6 |
| Plays | 68 | 57 |
| Total Yards | 217 | 242 |
| Total EPA | -28.6 | -11.1 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Player Stats
LAC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey LanceQB | 50 | 20/41 | 164 | 3.3 | -25.8 | -0.52 | -11.0 | 28% | -0.44 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hassan HaskinsRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +1.6 | +1.56 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kimani VidalRB | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | +0.1 | +0.04 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jaret PattersonRB | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | -1.5 | -0.19 | 25% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Trey LanceQB | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | -1.6 | -0.41 | 25% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oronde Gadsden IITE | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +2.4 | +1.21 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Tre HarrisWR | 6 | 2 | 28 | 4.7 | +1.0 | +0.16 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Tyler ConklinTE | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.1 | +0.11 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Derius DavisWR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | -0.3 | -0.28 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jaret PattersonRB | 4 | 3 | 8 | 2.0 | -1.6 | -0.40 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Kimani VidalRB | 1 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -2.3 | -2.28 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Will DisslyTE | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 | -2.7 | -0.54 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Keenan AllenWR | 13 | 7 | 36 | 2.8 | -5.5 | -0.43 | 23% | -0.13 | 0 |
| KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR | 5 | 2 | 24 | 4.8 | -7.8 | -1.57 | 40% | -0.10 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 33 | 14/23 | 175 | 5.3 | -2.3 | -0.07 | -12.7 | 36% | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 6 | 41 | 6.8 | +1.7 | +0.28 | 83% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Tyler BadieRB | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | -2.6 | -1.29 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 15 | 28 | 1.9 | -7.2 | -0.48 | 20% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler BadieRB | 2 | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | +4.6 | +2.31 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Pat BryantWR | 5 | 4 | 31 | 6.2 | +1.6 | +0.32 | 60% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Evan EngramTE | 4 | 3 | 45 | 11.3 | +0.7 | +0.17 | 25% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8.5 | +0.3 | +0.17 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3.3 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Troy FranklinWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.84 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Courtland SuttonWR | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | -2.6 | -1.28 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 | -3.9 | -0.96 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |