Browns
20–18
CLE @ CIN
Bengals
Final · Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · 2025 Week 18 · Paycor Stadium
Ground Share
Bengals controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
CLE 35%65% CIN
27.9%GROUND52.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.Sanders | 30 | -0.28 | 33.3% | 20.0% | -8.4 | 9.1 | 52.4% | 64.2% | -11.8 |
| J.Burrow | 42 | -0.26 | 57.1% | 4.8% | -10.9 | 5.3 | 76.3% | 69.5% | +6.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CLE | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.13 | -0.09 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.28 | -0.26 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.09 | +0.20 |
| Success Rate | 34.6% | 59.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 19.2% | 34.3% |
| Yards / Play | 3.85 | 5.43 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.28 | -0.09 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.4 | 5.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.68 | 4.35 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 59.1% | 58.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 13.6% | 4.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.5% | 10.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 20.3 | 30.9 |
| Plays | 52 | 67 |
| Total Yards | 200 | 364 |
| Total EPA | -6.5 | -6.0 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 2 |
Special Teams
Browns had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
CLE 61%39% CIN
4.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.7 pts won
Biggest swing · A.Szmyt 49 yard field goal is GOOD — CLE +1.1
Kickoffs · CIN +0.3Punts · CIN +1.5Kicks · CLE +3.2
Player Stats
CLE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shedeur SandersQB | 30 | 11/22 | 104 | 3.5 | -8.4 | -0.28 | -11.8 | 33% | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry JeudyWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +2.7 | +2.73 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Shedeur SandersQB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.9 | +0.92 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Malachi CorleyWR | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | +0.6 | +0.21 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Trayveon WilliamsRB | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Isaiah BondWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.17 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Dylan SampsonRB | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | -0.8 | -0.08 | 30% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Raheim SandersRB | 5 | 26 | 5.2 | -1.4 | -0.27 | 20% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric TillmanWR | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11.5 | +2.2 | +1.10 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Malachi CorleyWR | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +1.7 | +0.85 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Raheim SandersRB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +1.2 | +1.22 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Isaiah BondWR | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6.5 | +0.6 | +0.28 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Brenden BatesTE | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.2 | +0.18 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Dylan SampsonRB | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4.0 | +0.1 | +0.04 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Blake WhiteheartTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.08 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Sal CannellaTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.57 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Trayveon WilliamsRB | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6.5 | -1.7 | -0.86 | 50% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Jerry JeudyWR | 6 | 2 | 17 | 2.8 | -2.9 | -0.48 | 17% | +0.11 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre SzmytK | 2/2(27, 49) | 49 | 2/2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey BojorquezP | 5 | 225 | 45.0 | 42.4 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trayveon WilliamsRB | 3 | 73 | 24.3 | 29 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage LarvadainWR | 5 | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0 |
CIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe BurrowQB | 42 | 29/39 | 230 | 5.5 | -10.9 | -0.26 | +6.8 | 57% | -0.28 | 3 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase BrownRB | 13 | 72 | 5.5 | +1.7 | +0.13 | 46% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Joe BurrowQB | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +1.1 | +1.06 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ke'Shawn WilliamsWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.66 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 8 | 42 | 5.3 | +0.6 | +0.07 | 75% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Joe FlaccoQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.3 | +0.29 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR | 10 | 8 | 96 | 9.6 | +7.9 | +0.79 | 80% | +0.28 | 1 |
| Mike GesickiTE | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | +3.2 | +1.58 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Drew SampleTE | 3 | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | +1.3 | +0.44 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Andrei IosivasWR | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3.3 | -0.2 | -0.08 | 67% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Chase BrownRB | 6 | 4 | 12 | 2.0 | -1.8 | -0.30 | 33% | -0.18 | 1 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2.5 | -2.0 | -0.51 | 25% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Tee HigginsWR | 9 | 6 | 73 | 8.1 | -7.4 | -0.83 | 56% | -0.05 | 1 |
| Noah FantTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -8.9 | -8.91 | 0% | -0.27 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan McPhersonK | — | — | 0/2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan RehkowP | 5 | 222 | 44.4 | 43.2 | 58 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ke'Shawn WilliamsWR | 4 | 99 | 24.8 | 31 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ke'Shawn WilliamsWR | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | 8 | 0 |