Buccaneers
17–20
TB @ MIA
Dolphins
Final · Sun, Dec 28, 2025 · 2025 Week 17 · Hard Rock Stadium
Ground Share
Buccaneers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
TB 55%45% MIA
52.4%GROUND43.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Mayfield | 50 | +0.08 | 52.0% | 6.0% | +4.1 | 8.2 | 75.0% | 65.7% | +9.3 |
| Q.Ewers | 25 | +0.22 | 36.0% | 8.0% | +5.5 | 8.9 | 63.6% | 63.2% | +0.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | TB | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.04 | +0.06 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.08 | +0.22 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.15 | -0.04 |
| Success Rate | 49.3% | 40.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 22.4% | 18.5% |
| Yards / Play | 5.67 | 5.56 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.12 | -0.08 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 53.3% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.2 | 10.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.15 | 3.48 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 38.5% | 51.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 38.5% | 25.9% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.9% | 11.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.5 | 30.2 |
| Plays | 67 | 54 |
| Total Yards | 380 | 300 |
| Total EPA | +2.5 | +3.3 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 0 |
Special Teams
Dolphins dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
TB 19%81% MIA
2.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS8.7 pts won
Biggest swing · C.McLaughlin 55 yard field goal is BLOCKED — MIA +3.6
Kickoffs · MIA +2.7Punts · MIA +0.3Kicks · MIA +3.7
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 50 | 33/44 | 343 | 6.9 | +4.1 | +0.08 | +9.3 | 52% | +0.01 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean TuckerRB | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | +2.6 | +1.32 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.09 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 9 | 19 | 2.1 | -4.7 | -0.53 | 22% | -0.14 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 8 | 7 | 108 | 13.5 | +8.5 | +1.06 | 88% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Jalen McMillanWR | 9 | 7 | 114 | 12.7 | +6.8 | +0.76 | 67% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Mike EvansWR | 7 | 3 | 31 | 4.4 | +1.9 | +0.27 | 43% | -0.04 | 1 |
| Cade OttonTE | 4 | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | +1.5 | +0.38 | 75% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Tez JohnsonWR | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +1.0 | +0.48 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.3 | -0.14 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -0.98 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 6 | 5 | 14 | 2.3 | -4.5 | -0.74 | 17% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 5 | 3 | 20 | 4.0 | -4.7 | -0.94 | 40% | -0.11 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 1/2(33 · blocked 55) | 33 | 2/2 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 3 | 126 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 3 | 75 | 25.0 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 15 | 0 |
MIA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn EwersQB | 25 | 14/22 | 160 | 6.4 | +5.5 | +0.22 | +0.4 | 36% | +0.19 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WrightRB | 5 | 56 | 11.2 | +3.4 | +0.68 | 80% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Jaylen WaddleWR | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.4 | +0.38 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Quinn EwersQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.43 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.7 | -0.65 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| De'Von AchaneRB | 18 | 83 | 4.6 | -1.0 | -0.05 | 44% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Greg DulcichTE | 1 | -7 | -7.0 | -1.6 | -1.63 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Wease Jr.WR | 1 | 1 | 63 | 63.0 | +6.2 | +6.17 | 100% | +0.19 | 1 |
| Greg DulcichTE | 6 | 5 | 58 | 9.7 | +5.3 | +0.88 | 67% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Julian HillTE | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8.0 | +2.2 | +1.12 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| De'Von AchaneRB | 3 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | +0.8 | +0.25 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Cedrick Wilson Jr.WR | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.5 | -0.27 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jaylen WaddleWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.89 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Quinn EwersQB | 1 | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | -1.5 | -1.50 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Darren WallerTE | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.9 | -0.62 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | -3.0 | -0.98 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley PattersonK | 2/2(29, 31) | 31 | 2/2 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake BaileyP | 5 | 236 | 47.2 | 41.8 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik WashingtonWR | 1 | 47 | 47.0 | 47 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik WashingtonWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |