Eagles
13–12
PHI @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Dec 28, 2025 · 2025 Week 17 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
PHI 35%65% BUF
25.0%GROUND46.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Hurts | 29 | -0.10 | 27.6% | 3.5% | -2.8 | 10.8 | 59.1% | 61.2% | -2.1 |
| J.Allen | 42 | -0.24 | 35.7% | 11.9% | -10.2 | 7.4 | 69.7% | 70.1% | -0.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | PHI | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.12 | -0.05 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.10 | -0.24 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.15 | +0.08 |
| Success Rate | 30.2% | 40.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 18.9% | 25.7% |
| Yards / Play | 3.60 | 4.49 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.15 | -0.12 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 30.8% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.3 | 6.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.59 | 3.09 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 41.7% | 36.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.7% | 10.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.2% | 6.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 23.7 | 28.2 |
| Plays | 53 | 74 |
| Total Yards | 191 | 332 |
| Total EPA | -6.3 | -3.7 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Special Teams
Eagles won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
PHI 78%22% BUF
7.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.0 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Elliott 47 yard field goal is GOOD — PHI +1.1
Kickoffs · PHI +1.4Punts · PHI +1.4Kicks · PHI +2.2
Player Stats
PHI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen HurtsQB | 29 | 13/27 | 112 | 3.9 | -2.8 | -0.10 | -2.1 | 28% | +0.07 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tank BigsbyRB | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.2 | -0.08 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jalen HurtsQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.2 | -0.20 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Saquon BarkleyRB | 19 | 68 | 3.6 | -1.3 | -0.07 | 37% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Will ShipleyRB | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -1.9 | -0.93 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. BrownWR | 7 | 5 | 68 | 9.7 | +4.5 | +0.64 | 57% | +0.15 | 0 |
| DeVonta SmithWR | 5 | 2 | 25 | 5.0 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 40% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Darius CooperWR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.14 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Tank BigsbyRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.2 | -0.19 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Grant CalcaterraTE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.29 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jahan DotsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.57 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Dallas GoedertTE | 6 | 3 | 8 | 1.3 | -2.3 | -0.38 | 17% | -0.03 | 1 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake ElliottK | 2/2(47, 28) | 47 | 1/1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden MannP | 7 | 388 | 55.4 | 45.4 | 65 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ShipleyRB | 2 | 49 | 24.5 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Britain CoveyWR | 5 | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 42 | 23/35 | 219 | 5.2 | -10.2 | -0.24 | -0.4 | 36% | -0.33 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | +5.7 | +1.43 | 75% | +0.37 | 2 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.0 | -0.03 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 5 | 15 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.04 | 20% | -0.04 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 20 | 74 | 3.7 | -3.1 | -0.15 | 45% | -0.12 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin CooksWR | 6 | 4 | 101 | 16.8 | +6.3 | +1.06 | 67% | +0.20 | 0 |
| Tyrell ShaversWR | 3 | 2 | 57 | 19.0 | +5.1 | +1.70 | 67% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 5 | 5 | 30 | 6.0 | +1.2 | +0.24 | 40% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +0.7 | +0.74 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Josh PalmerWR | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6.0 | -0.3 | -0.13 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.49 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 7 | 6 | 35 | 5.0 | -0.8 | -0.12 | 43% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3.0 | -1.1 | -0.28 | 25% | -0.05 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | -2.5 | -0.63 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike BadgleyK | — | — | 0/1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch WishnowskyP | 6 | 262 | 43.7 | 39.0 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DavisRB | 3 | 84 | 28.0 | 32 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 4 | 50 | 12.5 | 28 | 0 |