Jaguars
23–17
JAX @ IND
Colts
Final · Sun, Dec 28, 2025 · 2025 Week 17 · Lucas Oil Stadium
Ground Share
Jaguars controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
JAX 66%34% IND
58.7%GROUND30.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Lawrence | 43 | +0.09 | 46.5% | 4.7% | +3.7 | 9.8 | 62.2% | 62.4% | -0.2 |
| P.Rivers | 32 | -0.36 | 34.4% | 6.3% | -11.5 | 7.5 | 58.6% | 68.3% | -9.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | JAX | IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.00 | -0.17 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.09 | -0.36 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.15 | -0.01 |
| Success Rate | 43.5% | 36.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 27.5% | 21.1% |
| Yards / Play | 5.36 | 3.60 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.13 | +0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 47.1% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.3 | 6.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.88 | 2.88 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 48.0% | 52.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 24.0% | 19.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.9% | 17.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 37.0 | 31.7 |
| Plays | 69 | 57 |
| Total Yards | 370 | 205 |
| Total EPA | -0.3 | -9.7 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 2 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
JAX 49%51% IND
5.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.1 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Little kicks 59 yards from JAX 35 to IND 6. A.Dulin pushed ob at JAX 39 for 55 yards — IND +2.0
Kickoffs · IND +4.3Punts · JAX +2.0Kicks · JAX +2.0
Player Stats
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 43 | 23/37 | 271 | 6.3 | +3.7 | +0.09 | -0.2 | 47% | +0.04 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeeJay DallasRB | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | +1.4 | +0.70 | 50% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Parker WashingtonWR | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | -0.1 | -0.09 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.25 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 17 | 76 | 4.5 | -1.1 | -0.06 | 41% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | -3.3 | -0.81 | 50% | -0.03 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker WashingtonWR | 10 | 8 | 115 | 11.5 | +4.8 | +0.48 | 60% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Brenton StrangeTE | 5 | 3 | 54 | 10.8 | +4.4 | +0.88 | 60% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Brian Thomas Jr.WR | 7 | 4 | 39 | 5.6 | +0.8 | +0.12 | 43% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5.3 | +0.3 | +0.11 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| DeeJay DallasRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.55 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Johnny MundtTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.71 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Tim PatrickWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.87 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 9 | 6 | 39 | 4.3 | -4.7 | -0.53 | 44% | -0.12 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam LittleK | 3/3(34, 42, 53) | 53 | 2/2 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan CookeP | 2 | 127 | 63.5 | 53.5 | 66 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeeJay DallasRB | 2 | 62 | 31.0 | 32 | 0 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 2 | 58 | 29.0 | 31 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker WashingtonWR | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 5 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley LeonardQB | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.47 | — | 0% | -0.09 | 0 | 1 |
| Philip RiversQB | 32 | 17/30 | 135 | 4.2 | -11.6 | -0.36 | -9.7 | 34% | -0.46 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 21 | 70 | 3.3 | +0.9 | +0.04 | 38% | -0.02 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler WarrenTE | 5 | 5 | 43 | 8.6 | +4.2 | +0.83 | 80% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Mo Alie-CoxTE | 3 | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | +2.1 | +0.71 | 100% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Will MalloryTE | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +1.5 | +1.52 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.22 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanWR | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5.3 | -0.7 | -0.23 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 6 | 3 | 14 | 2.3 | -2.8 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.12 | 0 |
| Alec PierceWR | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.5 | -0.90 | 0% | -0.18 | 0 |
| Josh DownsWR | 5 | 2 | 34 | 6.8 | -4.9 | -0.98 | 40% | -0.10 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake GrupeK | 1/1(33) | 33 | 2/2 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rigoberto SanchezP | 4 | 192 | 48.0 | 45.5 | 54 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton DulinWR | 3 | 129 | 43.0 | 55 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh DownsWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |