Texans
20–16
HOU @ LAC
Chargers

Final · Sat, Dec 27, 2025 · 2025 Week 17 · SoFi Stadium

Ground Share

Texans had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

HOU 55%45% LAC
40.7%GROUND32.7%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
C.Stroud28-0.1735.7%0.0%-4.79.461.5%69.0%-7.5
J.Herbert42-0.1533.3%11.9%-6.28.767.7%66.6%+1.1

Team Stats

MetricHOULAC
EPA / Play-0.15-0.22
EPA / Dropback-0.17-0.15
EPA / Rush-0.14-0.38
Success Rate39.0%32.2%
Pass35.7%33.3%
Rush41.9%29.4%
Explosive Play Rate8.5%6.8%
Pass10.7%9.5%
Rush6.5%0.0%
Yards / Play6.174.66
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.12-0.39
3rd/4th-Down Conversion27.3%40.0%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance7.98.4
Line Yards / Carry3.021.69
Opportunity Rate (4+)45.2%29.4%
Stuff Rate22.6%35.3%
Havoc Rate Allowed15.3%13.6%
Avg Starting Field Position25.529.9
Plays5959
Total Yards364275
Total EPA-8.9-12.7
Giveaways21

Special Teams

Texans won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

HOU 72%28% LAC
11.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.3 pts won

Biggest swing · C.Dicker 32 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — HOU +3.8

Kickoffs · LAC +2.3Punts · HOU +3.1Kicks · HOU +6.2

Player Stats

HOU

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
C.J. StroudQB2816/282448.7-4.7-0.17-7.536%+0.1722

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Xavier HutchinsonWR188.0+0.4+0.44100%+0.000
C.J. StroudQB122.0+0.1+0.08100%-0.020
Jawhar JordanRB8364.5-0.1-0.0138%+0.000
Nick ChubbRB111.0-0.6-0.570%+0.010
Jaylin NoelWR122.0-1.0-1.000%-0.020
Woody MarksRB19713.7-3.1-0.1642%+0.080

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Nico CollinsWR435714.3+4.3+1.0775%+0.110
Jaylin NoelWR435413.5+2.7+0.6950%+0.091
Jayden HigginsWR428822.0+1.6+0.3950%+0.171
Xavier HutchinsonWR32217.0+0.2+0.0667%+0.020
Woody MarksRB2142.0-2.5-1.260%-0.040
Dalton SchultzTE43194.8-2.9-0.720%-0.040
Christian KirkWR5210.2-5.9-1.1820%-0.110

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Ka'imi FairbairnK2/2(41, 44)442/2528

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Tommy TownsendP525250.447.856400

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Jaylin NoelWR24120.5230
Tremon SmithCB23718.5250

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Jaylin NoelWR441.040

LAC

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Justin HerbertQB4221/322365.8-6.2-0.15+1.233%-0.1911

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Justin HerbertQB6376.2+1.0+0.1733%-0.010
Tre HarrisWR177.0+0.3+0.34100%+0.010
Jaret PattersonRB111.0-0.5-0.530%-0.020
Omarion HamptonRB14292.1-4.6-0.3329%-0.071

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Quentin JohnstonWR859812.3+6.2+0.7850%+0.100
Will DisslyTE22199.5+2.6+1.3050%+0.050
Ladd McConkeyWR213115.5+1.4+0.7150%+0.030
Tre HarrisWR1188.0+1.4+1.35100%+0.020
Keenan AllenWR31175.7-0.1-0.0533%-0.020
KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR1000.0-0.8-0.780%-0.010
Omarion HamptonRB88313.9-3.3-0.4225%-0.070
Oronde Gadsden IITE63325.3-5.7-0.9533%-0.091

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Cameron DickerK1/2(27 · missed 32)271/2404

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
J.K. ScottP727339.038.449100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Jaret PattersonRB25829.0340
KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR12525.0250

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Ladd McConkeyWR4133.370