Texans
20–16
HOU @ LAC
Chargers
Final · Sat, Dec 27, 2025 · 2025 Week 17 · SoFi Stadium
Ground Share
Texans had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
HOU 55%45% LAC
40.7%GROUND32.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 28 | -0.17 | -4.7 | 9.1 | 57.1% | 69.0% | -7.5 |
| J.Herbert | 37 | -0.24 | -8.9 | 8.8 | 65.6% | 66.6% | +1.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | HOU | LAC |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.08 | -0.14 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.17 | -0.15 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.12 | -0.38 |
| Success Rate | 41.9% | 36.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.0% | 17.5% |
| Yards / Play | 5.87 | 4.37 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.11 | -0.31 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 38.5% | 43.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.9 | 8.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.02 | 1.69 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 45.2% | 29.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.6% | 35.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.5% | 12.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 25.5 | 29.9 |
| Plays | 62 | 63 |
| Total Yards | 364 | 275 |
| Total EPA | -4.9 | -9.0 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Player Stats
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 28 | 16/28 | 244 | 8.7 | -4.7 | -0.17 | -7.5 | 36% | +0.17 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.4 | +0.44 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| C.J. StroudQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.1 | +0.08 | 100% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jawhar JordanRB | 8 | 36 | 4.5 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 38% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.6 | -0.57 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -1.00 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 19 | 71 | 3.7 | -3.1 | -0.16 | 42% | +0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico CollinsWR | 4 | 3 | 57 | 14.3 | +4.3 | +1.07 | 75% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 4 | 3 | 54 | 13.5 | +2.7 | +0.69 | 50% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 4 | 2 | 88 | 22.0 | +1.6 | +0.39 | 50% | +0.17 | 1 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 3 | 2 | 21 | 7.0 | +0.2 | +0.06 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2.0 | -2.5 | -1.26 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 4 | 3 | 19 | 4.8 | -2.9 | -0.72 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Christian KirkWR | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.2 | -5.9 | -1.18 | 20% | -0.11 | 0 |
LAC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin HerbertQB | 42 | 21/32 | 242 | 5.8 | -6.2 | -0.15 | +1.2 | 33% | -0.19 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre HarrisWR | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.34 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jaret PattersonRB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.53 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Justin HerbertQB | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | -1.7 | -1.70 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Omarion HamptonRB | 14 | 29 | 2.1 | -4.6 | -0.33 | 29% | -0.07 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin JohnstonWR | 8 | 5 | 98 | 12.3 | +6.2 | +0.78 | 50% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Will DisslyTE | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +2.6 | +1.30 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Ladd McConkeyWR | 2 | 1 | 31 | 15.5 | +1.4 | +0.71 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Tre HarrisWR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.4 | +1.35 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Keenan AllenWR | 3 | 1 | 17 | 5.7 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| KeAndre Lambert-SmithWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.78 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Omarion HamptonRB | 8 | 8 | 31 | 3.9 | -3.3 | -0.42 | 25% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Oronde Gadsden IITE | 6 | 3 | 32 | 5.3 | -5.7 | -0.95 | 33% | -0.09 | 1 |