Broncos
2013
DEN @ KC
Chiefs

Final · Thu, Dec 25, 2025 · 2025 Week 17 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Ground Share

Broncos controlled the field

Teams with this edge win 94% of the time

DEN 68%32% KC
58.7%GROUND27.5%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
B.Nix44+0.1652.3%2.3%+7.25.670.3%66.7%+3.6
C.Oladokun24-0.3425.0%4.2%-8.15.565.0%66.8%-1.8

Team Stats

MetricDENKC
EPA / Play+0.08-0.15
EPA / Dropback+0.16-0.34
EPA / Rush-0.02-0.00
Success Rate50.7%30.9%
Explosive Play Rate21.1%19.1%
Yards / Play4.283.31
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.01-0.15
3rd/4th-Down Conversion63.2%38.5%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance4.76.8
Line Yards / Carry2.753.29
Opportunity Rate (4+)34.6%41.2%
Stuff Rate19.2%11.8%
Havoc Rate Allowed7.0%2.4%
Avg Starting Field Position26.036.9
Plays7142
Total Yards304139
Total EPA+6.0-6.4
Giveaways10

Special Teams

Chiefs won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

DEN 26%74% KC
2.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.4 pts won

Biggest swing · J.Crawshaw punts 58 yards to KC 11. B.Smith to DEN 45 for 44 yardsKC +2.1

Kickoffs · DEN +0.4Punts · KC +2.5Kicks · KC +2.1

Player Stats

DEN

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Bo NixQB4426/382174.9+7.2+0.16+3.652%+0.4111

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Jaleel McLaughlinRB7405.7+1.5+0.2157%+0.040
Bo NixQB310.3+0.8+0.2667%+0.060
Adam PrenticeFB231.5-0.5-0.2350%-0.030
RJ HarveyRB14433.1-2.3-0.1643%-0.020

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
RJ HarveyRB65335.5+4.4+0.7367%+0.281
Adam TrautmanTE222412.0+2.3+1.16100%+0.100
Michael BandyWR22147.0+1.9+0.97100%+0.040
Troy FranklinWR44174.3+0.8+0.1950%+0.030
Evan EngramTE44215.3-0.5-0.1350%+0.000
Marvin Mims Jr.WR43102.5-0.8-0.2150%-0.010
Courtland SuttonWR104404.0-1.1-0.1130%-0.040
Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR52234.6-1.6-0.3240%-0.070

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Wil LutzK2/2(27, 30)302/2528

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Jeremy CrawshawP210351.524.058100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Tyler BadieRB26130.5340

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Marvin Mims Jr.WR188.080

KC

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Chris OladokunQB2413/21682.8-8.1-0.34-1.825%-0.2310

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Kareem HuntRB7385.4+1.9+0.2757%-0.010
Xavier WorthyWR111.0-0.4-0.410%-0.020
Isiah PachecoRB9323.6-1.6-0.1722%-0.050

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Travis KelceTE65366.0+1.4+0.2433%-0.030
JuJu Smith-SchusterWR33165.3-0.1-0.0367%+0.070
Noah GrayTE1122.0-0.5-0.480%-0.030
Brashard SmithRB4351.3-1.0-0.2525%-0.051
Xavier WorthyWR3000.0-3.0-1.000%-0.070
Marquise BrownWR3172.3-3.0-1.020%-0.090

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Harrison ButkerK2/2(53, 47)531/1427

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Matt AraizaP317157.041.062120

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Brashard SmithRB37625.3300

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Brashard SmithRB25527.5440