Broncos
20–13
DEN @ KC
Chiefs
Final · Thu, Dec 25, 2025 · 2025 Week 17 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Ground Share
Broncos controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
DEN 68%32% KC
58.7%GROUND27.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Nix | 39 | +0.08 | +2.9 | 5.4 | 68.4% | 66.7% | +3.6 |
| C.Oladokun | 22 | -0.38 | -8.4 | 5.3 | 61.9% | 66.8% | -1.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | KC |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.08 | -0.15 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.16 | -0.34 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.02 | -0.00 |
| Success Rate | 50.7% | 30.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.1% | 19.1% |
| Yards / Play | 4.28 | 3.31 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.01 | -0.15 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 63.2% | 38.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 4.7 | 6.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.75 | 3.29 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 34.6% | 41.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.2% | 11.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.0 | 36.9 |
| Plays | 71 | 42 |
| Total Yards | 304 | 139 |
| Total EPA | +6.0 | -6.4 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 44 | 26/38 | 217 | 4.9 | +7.2 | +0.16 | +3.6 | 52% | +0.41 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 7 | 40 | 5.7 | +1.5 | +0.21 | 57% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Bo NixQB | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | +0.8 | +0.26 | 67% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Adam PrenticeFB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -0.5 | -0.23 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 14 | 43 | 3.1 | -2.3 | -0.16 | 43% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ HarveyRB | 6 | 5 | 33 | 5.5 | +4.4 | +0.73 | 67% | +0.28 | 1 |
| Adam TrautmanTE | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | +2.3 | +1.16 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Michael BandyWR | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +1.9 | +0.97 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Troy FranklinWR | 4 | 4 | 17 | 4.3 | +0.8 | +0.19 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Evan EngramTE | 4 | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | -0.5 | -0.13 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2.5 | -0.8 | -0.21 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Courtland SuttonWR | 10 | 4 | 40 | 4.0 | -1.1 | -0.11 | 30% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR | 5 | 2 | 23 | 4.6 | -1.6 | -0.32 | 40% | -0.07 | 0 |
KC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris OladokunQB | 24 | 13/21 | 68 | 2.8 | -8.1 | -0.34 | -1.8 | 25% | -0.23 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem HuntRB | 7 | 38 | 5.4 | +1.9 | +0.27 | 57% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.41 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 9 | 32 | 3.6 | -1.6 | -0.17 | 22% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis KelceTE | 6 | 5 | 36 | 6.0 | +1.4 | +0.24 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| JuJu Smith-SchusterWR | 3 | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | -0.1 | -0.03 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Noah GrayTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.48 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Brashard SmithRB | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1.3 | -1.0 | -0.25 | 25% | -0.05 | 1 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.0 | -1.00 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Marquise BrownWR | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2.3 | -3.0 | -1.02 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |