Cowboys
30–23
DAL @ WAS
Commanders
Final · Thu, Dec 25, 2025 · 2025 Week 17 · FedExField
Ground Share
Cowboys had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
DAL 55%45% WAS
65.9%GROUND53.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Prescott | 43 | +0.27 | +11.7 | 10.3 | 51.4% | 63.7% | -11.0 |
| J.Johnson | 23 | +0.21 | +4.9 | 7.6 | 68.2% | 66.6% | +4.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | DAL | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.22 | +0.23 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.29 | +0.17 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.12 | +0.27 |
| Success Rate | 48.9% | 44.2% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 28.3% | 27.9% |
| Yards / Play | 5.22 | 7.63 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.01 | +0.42 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 57.1% | 28.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.6 | 6.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.81 | 4.95 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 54.8% | 35.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 4.8% | 35.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.7% | 16.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 19.1 | 32.0 |
| Plays | 92 | 43 |
| Total Yards | 480 | 328 |
| Total EPA | +20.4 | +10.0 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Player Stats
DAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak PrescottQB | 45 | 19/37 | 287 | 6.4 | +12.9 | +0.29 | -11.0 | 47% | +0.25 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 13 | 54 | 4.2 | +5.2 | +0.40 | 54% | +0.17 | 1 |
| Hunter LuepkeRB | 7 | 30 | 4.3 | +1.3 | +0.18 | 57% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Malik DavisRB | 20 | 103 | 5.2 | -0.3 | -0.01 | 45% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Dak PrescottQB | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.6 | -0.30 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KaVontae TurpinWR | 1 | 1 | 86 | 86.0 | +8.0 | +7.97 | 100% | +0.08 | 1 |
| George PickensWR | 5 | 4 | 78 | 15.6 | +7.0 | +1.40 | 80% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Jalen TolbertWR | 8 | 4 | 31 | 3.9 | +2.1 | +0.27 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Brevyn Spann-FordTE | 2 | 1 | 31 | 15.5 | +1.9 | +0.94 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Jake FergusonTE | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3.0 | +1.4 | +0.70 | 50% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Luke SchoonmakerTE | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +1.1 | +0.56 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Hunter LuepkeRB | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +0.1 | +0.14 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Malik DavisRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.34 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jonathan MingoWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.75 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| CeeDee LambWR | 10 | 5 | 46 | 4.6 | -1.2 | -0.12 | 40% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Javonte WilliamsRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.7 | -1.37 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
WAS
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh JohnsonQB | 25 | 15/22 | 200 | 8.0 | +4.8 | +0.19 | +4.8 | 48% | +0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Treylon BurksWR | 1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.50 | — | 0% | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB | 11 | 105 | 9.6 | +5.0 | +0.45 | 36% | +0.02 | 2 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.WR | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | +0.8 | +0.39 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jeremy McNicholsRB | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -2.18 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurinWR | 7 | 5 | 63 | 9.0 | +3.6 | +0.52 | 57% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.WR | 4 | 2 | 68 | 17.0 | +2.7 | +0.69 | 50% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Chris MooreWR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +2.4 | +2.38 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Treylon BurksWR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Ben SinnottTE | 4 | 3 | 29 | 7.3 | -0.2 | -0.06 | 75% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Jeremy McNicholsRB | 3 | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | -0.5 | -0.16 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |