Cardinals
14–37
ARI @ CIN
Bengals
Final · Sun, Dec 28, 2025 · 2025 Week 17 · Paycor Stadium
Ground Share
Bengals controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
ARI 33%67% CIN
35.3%GROUND71.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Brissett | 41 | -0.02 | -0.8 | 7.7 | 56.8% | 65.7% | -5.7 |
| J.Burrow | 34 | +0.56 | +19.0 | 8.2 | 77.4% | 69.3% | +13.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | ARI | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.02 | +0.33 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.02 | +0.48 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.13 | +0.10 |
| Success Rate | 36.8% | 52.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 14.0% | 31.5% |
| Yards / Play | 4.09 | 5.93 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.15 | +0.12 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 33.3% | 73.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 9.0 | 5.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.88 | 3.36 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 30.8% | 37.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 0.0% | 3.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.7 | 24.8 |
| Plays | 57 | 73 |
| Total Yards | 233 | 433 |
| Total EPA | -1.3 | +24.1 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Player Stats
ARI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby BrissettQB | 41 | 21/37 | 191 | 4.7 | -0.8 | -0.02 | -5.7 | 37% | +0.02 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael CarterRB | 7 | 29 | 4.1 | +0.7 | +0.09 | 57% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Corey KinerRB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.7 | -0.72 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Emari DemercadoRB | 5 | 11 | 2.2 | -1.6 | -0.33 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael WilsonWR | 10 | 5 | 89 | 8.9 | +4.4 | +0.44 | 50% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Trey McBrideTE | 13 | 10 | 76 | 5.8 | +3.0 | +0.23 | 54% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Xavier WeaverWR | 3 | 2 | 24 | 8.0 | +2.9 | +0.98 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Michael CarterRB | 4 | 2 | 14 | 3.5 | -0.4 | -0.10 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Elijah HigginsTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.61 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -1.04 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Emari DemercadoRB | 3 | 2 | 9 | 3.0 | -2.5 | -0.83 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
CIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe BurrowQB | 35 | 24/31 | 287 | 8.2 | +18.6 | +0.53 | +13.5 | 54% | +0.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Joe FlaccoQB | 6 | 3/5 | 29 | 4.8 | +0.9 | +0.16 | +0.2 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase BrownRB | 22 | 101 | 4.6 | +2.2 | +0.10 | 41% | +0.01 | 2 |
| Joe BurrowQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +2.1 | +2.12 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | +0.4 | +0.14 | 67% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Tahj BrooksRB | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | -0.5 | -0.16 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tee HigginsWR | 5 | 4 | 59 | 11.8 | +5.2 | +1.03 | 60% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ja'Marr ChaseWR | 9 | 7 | 60 | 6.7 | +4.9 | +0.54 | 44% | +0.12 | 2 |
| Tanner HudsonTE | 2 | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | +4.7 | +2.37 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Mike GesickiTE | 2 | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | +4.1 | +2.04 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Cody FordOT | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | +1.7 | +1.67 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Samaje PerineRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.3 | +1.28 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Andrei IosivasWR | 6 | 4 | 41 | 6.8 | +1.3 | +0.21 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Chase BrownRB | 3 | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | +1.1 | +0.35 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Tahj BrooksRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.6 | +0.63 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Drew SampleTE | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.49 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Ke'Shawn WilliamsWR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Noah FantTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.38 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |