Buccaneers
20–23
TB @ CAR
Panthers
Final · Sun, Dec 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 16 · Bank of America Stadium
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
TB 48%52% CAR
51.1%GROUND54.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Mayfield | 30 | +0.24 | 46.7% | 6.7% | +7.2 | 6.1 | 72.0% | 70.6% | +1.4 |
| B.Young | 36 | +0.11 | 44.4% | 5.6% | +4.0 | 8.3 | 67.7% | 61.0% | +6.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | TB | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.08 | +0.10 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.24 | +0.11 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.03 | +0.08 |
| Success Rate | 42.9% | 43.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 27.0% | 22.6% |
| Yards / Play | 4.71 | 5.21 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.03 | +0.05 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 57.1% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.2 | 6.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.10 | 3.75 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 33.3% | 41.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 13.3% | 23.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 9.5% | 13.2% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.4 | 36.9 |
| Plays | 63 | 53 |
| Total Yards | 297 | 276 |
| Total EPA | +5.0 | +5.3 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Special Teams
Panthers had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
TB 37%63% CAR
5.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS8.6 pts won
Biggest swing · R.Fitzgerald kicks 52 yards from CAR 35 to TB 13. K.Johnson pushed ob at CAR 43 for 44 yards — TB +1.7
Kickoffs · CAR +0.5Punts · CAR +2.5Kicks · CAR +0.6
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 30 | 18/26 | 176 | 5.9 | +7.2 | +0.24 | +1.4 | 47% | -0.09 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 5 | 45 | 9.0 | +1.3 | +0.26 | 20% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 19 | 71 | 3.7 | +0.8 | +0.04 | 53% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Jalen McMillanWR | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.46 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Baker MayfieldQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.48 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 4 | 3 | 0.8 | -2.0 | -0.50 | 25% | +0.00 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 2 | 1 | 40 | 20.0 | +3.0 | +1.52 | 50% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 6 | 5 | 30 | 5.0 | +2.7 | +0.45 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +2.2 | +1.11 | 50% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Jalen McMillanWR | 3 | 2 | 15 | 5.0 | +1.2 | +0.39 | 33% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Cade OttonTE | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +0.7 | +0.35 | 50% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Tez JohnsonWR | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | -0.78 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Mike EvansWR | 9 | 5 | 31 | 3.4 | -2.2 | -0.25 | 44% | -0.31 | 1 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 2/2(23, 50) | 50 | 2/2 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 3 | 134 | 44.7 | 33.7 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 3 | 101 | 33.7 | 44 | 0 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | 23 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 7 | 0 |
CAR
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce YoungQB | 36 | 21/32 | 186 | 5.2 | +4.0 | +0.11 | +6.7 | 44% | +0.23 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Horn Jr.WR | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | +1.6 | +1.60 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 6 | 27 | 4.5 | +1.1 | +0.17 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Bryce YoungQB | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.68 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Rico DowdleRB | 9 | 29 | 3.2 | -2.0 | -0.22 | 22% | -0.11 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillanWR | 10 | 6 | 73 | 7.3 | +6.0 | +0.60 | 60% | +0.23 | 1 |
| Jalen CokerWR | 5 | 3 | 47 | 9.4 | +1.6 | +0.32 | 60% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Ja'Tavion SandersTE | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +1.4 | +0.69 | 50% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Mitchell EvansTE | 3 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | +1.1 | +0.36 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Tommy TrembleTE | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.3 | +0.28 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Xavier LegetteWR | 3 | 1 | 12 | 4.0 | +0.0 | -0.01 | 33% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | -0.7 | -0.69 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Rico DowdleRB | 6 | 4 | 14 | 2.3 | -2.0 | -0.33 | 17% | -0.06 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzgeraldK | 3/3(27, 41, 48) | 48 | 2/2 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 3 | 136 | 45.3 | 43.0 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor EtienneRB | 3 | 33 | 11.0 | 13 | 0 |