Steelers
29–24
PIT @ DET
Lions
Final · Sun, Dec 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 16 · Ford Field
Ground Share
Steelers controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
PIT 58%42% DET
66.0%GROUND48.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Rodgers | 43 | +0.14 | +6.1 | 8.2 | 65.8% | 72.4% | -1.4 |
| J.Goff | 57 | +0.19 | +10.9 | 5.8 | 63.0% | 72.6% | -7.2 |
Team Stats
| Metric | PIT | DET |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.15 | +0.05 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.11 | +0.19 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.39 | -0.36 |
| Success Rate | 39.2% | 42.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 29.7% | 20.5% |
| Yards / Play | 6.50 | 4.96 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.00 | -0.04 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 55.6% | 42.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.3 | 8.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 5.72 | 0.54 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 56.0% | 18.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 54.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.8% | 15.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.1 | 25.5 |
| Plays | 74 | 73 |
| Total Yards | 481 | 362 |
| Total EPA | +11.2 | +3.6 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
PIT
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron RodgersQB | 45 | 27/41 | 260 | 5.8 | +5.0 | +0.11 | -1.4 | 33% | +0.27 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 14 | 143 | 10.2 | +6.4 | +0.46 | 50% | +0.19 | 2 |
| Jonnu SmithTE | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | +2.0 | +0.98 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 9 | 50 | 5.6 | +1.5 | +0.17 | 56% | +0.12 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny GainwellRB | 7 | 5 | 78 | 11.1 | +5.4 | +0.77 | 29% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Adam ThielenWR | 4 | 4 | 49 | 12.3 | +5.2 | +1.30 | 100% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Scott MillerWR | 3 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | +4.5 | +1.49 | 67% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Calvin Austin IIIWR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.9 | +1.89 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| DK MetcalfWR | 9 | 4 | 42 | 4.7 | +0.2 | +0.02 | 22% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2.0 | -0.2 | -0.06 | 33% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Pat FreiermuthTE | 4 | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | -0.2 | -0.06 | 25% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Jonnu SmithTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.30 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | -1.3 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Darnell WashingtonTE | 4 | 3 | 36 | 9.0 | -2.1 | -0.52 | 50% | -0.06 | 0 |
DET
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared GoffQB | 57 | 34/54 | 346 | 6.1 | +10.8 | +0.19 | -7.2 | 47% | +0.15 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David MontgomeryRB | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | -0.8 | -0.21 | 25% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jahmyr GibbsRB | 7 | 2 | 0.3 | -3.1 | -0.45 | 14% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalif RaymondWR | 5 | 4 | 62 | 12.4 | +8.6 | +1.71 | 80% | +0.25 | 1 |
| Isaac TeSlaaWR | 7 | 4 | 52 | 7.4 | +3.9 | +0.56 | 57% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Anthony FirkserTE | 4 | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | +3.0 | +0.75 | 75% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Jameson WilliamsWR | 9 | 5 | 70 | 7.8 | +1.9 | +0.21 | 56% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jahmyr GibbsRB | 13 | 10 | 66 | 5.1 | +1.7 | +0.13 | 54% | -0.05 | 1 |
| Amon-Ra St. BrownWR | 9 | 4 | 54 | 6.0 | -0.9 | -0.10 | 33% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Shane ZylstraTE | 5 | 3 | 20 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -0.37 | 20% | -0.06 | 0 |