Patriots
28–24
NE @ BAL
Ravens
Final · Sun, Dec 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 16 · M&T Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 56%44% BAL
68.6%GROUND54.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Maye | 47 | +0.31 | +14.7 | 10.8 | 70.5% | 61.3% | +12.5 |
| T.Huntley | 11 | -0.21 | -2.3 | 5.4 | 90.0% | 65.2% | +24.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.11 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.23 | +0.16 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.09 | +0.07 |
| Success Rate | 52.1% | 50.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.4% | 32.1% |
| Yards / Play | 6.46 | 6.25 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.27 | -0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 41.2% | 63.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.4 | 6.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.96 | 4.14 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 41.2% | 61.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 23.5% | 12.9% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.5% | 9.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 33.1 | 32.3 |
| Plays | 71 | 53 |
| Total Yards | 459 | 331 |
| Total EPA | +13.4 | +5.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 2 |
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 50 | 31/44 | 386 | 7.7 | +14.4 | +0.29 | +12.5 | 56% | +0.49 | 2 | 1 |
| Marte MapuLB | 1 | 0/0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.5 | -2.48 | — | 0% | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 8 | 51 | 6.4 | +2.9 | +0.36 | 63% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Drake MayeQB | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | +1.8 | +0.46 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | -2.3 | -0.46 | 20% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon DiggsWR | 10 | 9 | 138 | 13.8 | +12.6 | +1.26 | 70% | +0.57 | 0 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 9 | 7 | 69 | 7.7 | +4.1 | +0.46 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 3 | 2 | 46 | 15.3 | +2.7 | +0.90 | 67% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 7 | 6 | 35 | 5.0 | +2.5 | +0.36 | 86% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Austin HooperTE | 4 | 2 | 34 | 8.5 | +1.5 | +0.39 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.8 | +0.76 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 3 | 2 | 27 | 9.0 | +0.3 | +0.11 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3.0 | +0.0 | -0.02 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Kayshon BoutteWR | 3 | 1 | 16 | 5.3 | -2.6 | -0.86 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
BAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar JacksonQB | 10 | 7/10 | 101 | 10.1 | +6.3 | +0.63 | +7.7 | 70% | +0.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler HuntleyQB | 12 | 9/10 | 61 | 5.1 | -2.9 | -0.24 | +24.8 | 42% | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay FlowersWR | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | +2.4 | +2.37 | 100% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 18 | 128 | 7.1 | +2.1 | +0.12 | 61% | +0.09 | 2 |
| Mark AndrewsTE | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.7 | +0.65 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Lamar JacksonQB | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.5 | -0.23 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Keaton MitchellRB | 9 | 13 | 1.4 | -2.5 | -0.28 | 22% | -0.10 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay FlowersWR | 7 | 7 | 84 | 12.0 | +4.6 | +0.65 | 86% | +0.06 | 0 |
| DeAndre HopkinsWR | 5 | 4 | 41 | 8.2 | +3.3 | +0.67 | 60% | +0.24 | 0 |
| Charlie KolarTE | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | +1.4 | +1.43 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Mark AndrewsTE | 3 | 2 | 21 | 7.0 | -0.9 | -0.30 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Rasheen AliRB | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -0.50 | 50% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Rashod BatemanWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.8 | -0.92 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |