Raiders
21–23
LV @ HOU
Texans
Final · Sun, Dec 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 16 · NRG Stadium
Ground Share
Raiders had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
LV 54%46% HOU
38.8%GROUND32.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G.Smith | 26 | +0.06 | 46.2% | 11.5% | +1.7 | 8.6 | 72.7% | 67.8% | +4.9 |
| C.Stroud | 36 | +0.07 | 47.2% | 0.0% | +2.4 | 8.7 | 67.7% | 69.2% | -1.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | LV | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.03 | -0.09 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.06 | +0.07 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.14 | -0.51 |
| Success Rate | 38.9% | 38.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 18.5% | 17.5% |
| Yards / Play | 5.83 | 4.32 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.01 | -0.24 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 42.9% | 52.9% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.1 | 6.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.00 | 2.43 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 44.4% | 26.1% |
| Stuff Rate | 7.4% | 26.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.3 | 24.4 |
| Plays | 54 | 63 |
| Total Yards | 315 | 272 |
| Total EPA | -1.5 | -5.5 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Special Teams
Texans won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
LV 22%78% HOU
2.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS8.8 pts won
Biggest swing · K.Fairbairn 55 yard field goal is GOOD — HOU +1.8
Kickoffs · evenPunts · HOU +2.2Kicks · HOU +4.1
Player Stats
LV
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno SmithQB | 26 | 16/23 | 170 | 6.5 | +1.7 | +0.06 | +4.9 | 46% | +0.03 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre TuckerWR | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.4 | +0.20 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Raheem MostertRB | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.2 | +0.18 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ashton JeantyRB | 24 | 128 | 5.3 | -4.5 | -0.19 | 25% | -0.05 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre TuckerWR | 5 | 4 | 43 | 8.6 | +4.7 | +0.93 | 80% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Brock BowersTE | 5 | 5 | 33 | 6.6 | +4.2 | +0.85 | 60% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Jack BechWR | 3 | 2 | 43 | 14.3 | +2.0 | +0.68 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Alex BachmanWR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +1.1 | +1.08 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Raheem MostertRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -0.46 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Michael MayerTE | 3 | 1 | 10 | 3.3 | -0.9 | -0.29 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Ashton JeantyRB | 2 | 1 | 60 | 30.0 | -1.6 | -0.81 | 50% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Tyler LockettWR | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -1.01 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel CarlsonK | — | — | 3/3 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ ColeP | 7 | 293 | 41.9 | 39.1 | 52 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raheem MostertRB | 2 | 53 | 26.5 | 30 | 0 |
| Dylan LaubeRB | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex BachmanWR | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 11 | 0 |
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 36 | 23/35 | 189 | 5.3 | +2.4 | +0.07 | -1.5 | 47% | +0.23 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -1.53 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -1.6 | -1.61 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 6 | 33 | 5.5 | -1.7 | -0.28 | 17% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Jawhar JordanRB | 15 | 53 | 3.5 | -6.9 | -0.46 | 27% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton SchultzTE | 5 | 5 | 35 | 7.0 | +3.7 | +0.75 | 80% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Nico CollinsWR | 9 | 4 | 59 | 6.6 | +1.7 | +0.18 | 33% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +1.0 | +1.02 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Cade StoverTE | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2.3 | +0.5 | +0.16 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Christian KirkWR | 5 | 3 | 37 | 7.4 | +0.3 | +0.05 | 60% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jawhar JordanRB | 5 | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | -0.4 | -0.09 | 60% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 3 | 1 | 17 | 5.7 | -0.8 | -0.25 | 33% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -1.1 | -1.14 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2.0 | -1.5 | -0.73 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi FairbairnK | 3/3(55, 50, 49) | 55 | 2/2 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy TownsendP | 5 | 258 | 51.6 | 47.0 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 4 | 88 | 22.0 | 28 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 14 | 0 |