Jaguars
34–20
JAX @ DEN
Broncos
Final · Sun, Dec 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 16 · Empower Field at Mile High
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
JAX 48%52% DEN
43.5%GROUND47.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Lawrence | 43 | +0.27 | 44.2% | 11.6% | +11.8 | 7.6 | 65.7% | 60.2% | +5.5 |
| B.Nix | 49 | +0.00 | 44.9% | 2.0% | +0.2 | 9.6 | 60.9% | 64.0% | -3.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | JAX | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.13 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.27 | +0.00 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.23 | -0.15 |
| Success Rate | 38.6% | 45.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.4% | 24.2% |
| Yards / Play | 4.94 | 6.74 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.01 | +0.13 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 53.3% | 35.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.3 | 5.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 1.88 | 3.94 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 28.0% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 28.0% | 18.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.0% | 12.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 33.8 | 21.9 |
| Plays | 70 | 66 |
| Total Yards | 346 | 445 |
| Total EPA | +8.9 | -1.1 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Special Teams
Jaguars won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
JAX 77%23% DEN
10.4 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.1 pts won
Biggest swing · W.Lutz 44 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright — JAX +3.9
Kickoffs · JAX +1.1Punts · JAX +2.4Kicks · JAX +3.8
Player Stats
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 43 | 23/36 | 282 | 6.6 | +11.8 | +0.27 | +5.5 | 44% | +0.39 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 4 | 3 | 0.8 | +0.5 | +0.12 | 75% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.6 | -0.62 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | -1.4 | -0.34 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 16 | 50 | 3.1 | -4.3 | -0.27 | 13% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker WashingtonWR | 10 | 6 | 145 | 14.5 | +14.2 | +1.42 | 60% | +0.34 | 1 |
| Brenton StrangeTE | 7 | 5 | 39 | 5.6 | +1.0 | +0.14 | 29% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Brian Thomas Jr.WR | 3 | 2 | 18 | 6.0 | +0.8 | +0.26 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Tim PatrickWR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.6 | +0.62 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Quintin MorrisTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.14 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 5 | 4 | 16 | 3.2 | -0.6 | -0.11 | 40% | -0.02 | 1 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 8 | 4 | 45 | 5.6 | -0.7 | -0.09 | 38% | +0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam LittleK | 2/2(47, 26) | 47 | 4/4 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan CookeP | 6 | 312 | 52.0 | 46.3 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 3 | 73 | 24.3 | 26 | 0 |
| DeeJay DallasRB | 2 | 66 | 33.0 | 35 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker WashingtonWR | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 49 | 28/47 | 348 | 7.1 | +0.2 | +0.00 | -3.1 | 45% | +0.13 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ HarveyRB | 7 | 50 | 7.1 | +2.5 | +0.36 | 43% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Jaleel McLaughlinRB | 5 | 37 | 7.4 | +1.6 | +0.32 | 60% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Bo NixQB | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | -6.3 | -2.10 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ HarveyRB | 5 | 4 | 71 | 14.2 | +3.7 | +0.75 | 80% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Troy FranklinWR | 5 | 4 | 66 | 13.2 | +2.9 | +0.58 | 80% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4.5 | +1.3 | +0.65 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Courtland SuttonWR | 12 | 6 | 86 | 7.2 | +0.8 | +0.06 | 50% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Evan EngramTE | 4 | 2 | 36 | 9.0 | +0.4 | +0.10 | 25% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Pat BryantWR | 8 | 5 | 42 | 5.3 | -0.3 | -0.04 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Nate AdkinsTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.53 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Adam TrautmanTE | 3 | 2 | 14 | 4.7 | -1.0 | -0.33 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 3 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | -1.6 | -0.54 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Tyler BadieRB | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | -3.0 | -1.01 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wil LutzK | 2/3(54, 21 · missed 44) | 54 | 2/2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy CrawshawP | 3 | 132 | 44.0 | 36.7 | 53 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 3 | 69 | 23.0 | 24 | 0 |
| Tyler BadieRB | 1 | 31 | 31.0 | 31 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 7 | 0 |