Falcons
26–19
ATL @ ARI
Cardinals
Final · Sun, Dec 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 16 · State Farm Stadium
Ground Share
Falcons had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
ATL 55%45% ARI
67.2%GROUND55.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Cousins | 36 | +0.22 | +8.1 | 5.6 | 60.0% | 68.6% | -6.9 |
| J.Brissett | 33 | -0.07 | -2.4 | 7.3 | 51.6% | 68.8% | -13.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | ATL | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.06 | +0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.22 | -0.07 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.16 | +0.09 |
| Success Rate | 41.3% | 38.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 29.3% | 24.6% |
| Yards / Play | 4.64 | 5.61 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.10 | -0.17 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 57.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.2 | 6.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.34 | 4.19 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 37.1% | 65.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 17.1% | 17.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.0% | 19.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 35.3 | 35.3 |
| Plays | 75 | 57 |
| Total Yards | 348 | 320 |
| Total EPA | +4.8 | +1.4 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Player Stats
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk CousinsQB | 36 | 21/35 | 190 | 5.3 | +8.1 | +0.23 | -6.9 | 42% | +0.20 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 16 | 79 | 4.9 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 50% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Kirk CousinsQB | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | -1.1 | -0.38 | 67% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 16 | 76 | 4.8 | -3.0 | -0.19 | 25% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle PittsTE | 9 | 7 | 57 | 6.3 | +8.9 | +0.99 | 67% | +0.34 | 1 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 11 | 7 | 92 | 8.4 | +3.7 | +0.34 | 46% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Darnell MooneyWR | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | +1.7 | +0.84 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jake MatthewsOT | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.2 | -0.24 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Charlie WoernerTE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.26 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| David SillsWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 1 | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | -1.3 | -1.27 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Drake LondonWR | 8 | 3 | 27 | 3.4 | -1.7 | -0.22 | 25% | -0.14 | 0 |
ARI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby BrissettQB | 33 | 16/31 | 188 | 5.7 | -2.4 | -0.07 | -13.6 | 36% | -0.04 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey KinerRB | 6 | 32 | 5.3 | +1.5 | +0.24 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Jacoby BrissettQB | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.6 | +0.64 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Michael CarterRB | 11 | 65 | 5.9 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 27% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Emari DemercadoRB | 5 | 30 | 6.0 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 40% | +0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah HigginsTE | 8 | 7 | 91 | 11.4 | +6.6 | +0.83 | 50% | +0.31 | 0 |
| Xavier WeaverWR | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +2.1 | +1.04 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Michael WilsonWR | 3 | 2 | 52 | 17.3 | +1.5 | +0.50 | 67% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr.WR | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4.7 | +0.2 | +0.07 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Josiah DeguaraTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.50 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Steven SimsWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Emari DemercadoRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.1 | -1.12 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Trey McBrideTE | 8 | 4 | 27 | 3.4 | -2.5 | -0.32 | 38% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Michael CarterRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.6 | -1.32 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |