Dolphins
15–28
MIA @ PIT
Steelers

Final · Mon, Dec 15, 2025 · 2025 Week 15 · Acrisure Stadium

Ground Share

Steelers had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

MIA 43%57% PIT
38.7%GROUND52.1%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
T.Tagovailoa33+0.1051.5%12.1%+3.46.284.6%69.1%+15.5
A.Rodgers30+0.3756.7%10.0%+11.13.485.2%74.8%+10.4

Team Stats

MetricMIAPIT
EPA / Play-0.00+0.22
EPA / Dropback+0.10+0.37
EPA / Rush-0.23+0.08
Success Rate43.8%53.2%
Pass51.5%56.7%
Rush26.7%50.0%
Explosive Play Rate10.4%8.1%
Pass12.1%10.0%
Rush6.7%6.3%
Yards / Play5.945.42
Early-Down EPA / Play+0.19+0.15
3rd/4th-Down Conversion33.3%50.0%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance4.95.1
Line Yards / Carry3.303.17
Opportunity Rate (4+)60.0%34.4%
Stuff Rate20.0%21.9%
Havoc Rate Allowed8.3%6.5%
Avg Starting Field Position26.328.3
Plays4862
Total Yards285336
Total EPA-0.1+13.8
Giveaways10

Special Teams

Dolphins had the edge in the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 56% of the time

MIA 60%40% PIT
4.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.1 pts won

Biggest swing · R.Patterson 54 yard field goal is GOOD — MIA +1.3

Kickoffs · MIA +0.1Punts · MIA +0.3Kicks · MIA +1.1

Player Stats

MIA

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Tua TagovailoaQB3322/282536.8+3.4+0.10+15.552%-0.1221

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
De'Von AchaneRB12605.0-0.1-0.0133%+0.020
Jaylen WrightRB122.0-0.6-0.550%-0.010
Tua TagovailoaQB111.0-1.2-1.180%-0.030
Ollie Gordon IIRB200.0-2.8-1.390%-0.050

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Darren WallerTE87668.3+6.5+0.8275%-0.022
De'Von AchaneRB666711.2+4.1+0.6983%+0.060
Greg DulcichTE224623.0+2.4+1.2250%+0.000
Julian HillTE222512.5+1.4+0.6950%+0.030
Jaylen WrightRB1199.0+0.7+0.67100%+0.000
Malik WashingtonWR111010.0+0.1+0.09100%+0.000
Nick Westbrook-IkhineWR1000.0-0.1-0.060%+0.000
Alec IngoldFB1144.0-0.4-0.430%+0.010
Jaylen WaddleWR42266.5-3.3-0.8150%-0.090

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Riley PattersonK1/1(54)54—403

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Jake BaileyP419448.541.355010

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Dee EskridgeWR37424.7330

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Malik WashingtonWR2147.070

PIT

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Aaron RodgersQB3023/272246.7+11.1+0.37+10.457%+0.1620

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Connor HeywardFB441.0+3.7+0.9475%+0.141
Jonnu SmithTE11414.0+2.0+2.02100%+0.011
Kenny GainwellRB13806.2+0.5+0.0446%+0.010
Kaleb JohnsonRB242.0-0.8-0.380%+0.000
Jaylen WarrenRB12332.8-2.8-0.2350%-0.040

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
DK MetcalfWR335518.3+6.2+2.06100%+0.121
Pat FreiermuthTE53459.0+5.2+1.0460%+0.010
Kenny GainwellRB77466.6+5.1+0.7371%+0.120
Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR111919.0+2.5+2.45100%+0.051
Darnell WashingtonTE43256.3+0.8+0.2050%+0.080
Jonnu SmithTE22126.0+0.1+0.0650%+0.000
Adam ThielenWR1177.0+0.0+0.01100%-0.010
Jaylen WarrenRB33155.0-0.7-0.2433%-0.030
Calvin Austin IIIWR1000.0-1.9-1.880%-0.040

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Chris BoswellK——4/4514

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Corliss WaitmanP523146.239.452210

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Jaylen WarrenRB25427.0300

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Calvin Austin IIIWR393.080