Colts
16–18
IND @ SEA
Seahawks
Final · Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · 2025 Week 15 · Lumen Field
Ground Share
Seahawks had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
IND 46%54% SEA
34.0%GROUND39.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Rivers | 28 | -0.09 | -2.5 | 5.3 | 66.7% | 69.6% | -0.4 |
| S.Darnold | 35 | +0.13 | +4.6 | 7.1 | 64.7% | 66.1% | +0.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.05 | -0.05 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.09 | +0.11 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.08 | -0.33 |
| Success Rate | 38.3% | 45.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 23.3% | 14.0% |
| Yards / Play | 3.67 | 5.53 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.11 | +0.09 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 23.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.5 | 6.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.91 | 2.07 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 33.3% | 31.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 21.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.3% | 10.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 35.3 | 20.2 |
| Plays | 60 | 57 |
| Total Yards | 220 | 315 |
| Total EPA | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip RiversQB | 28 | 18/27 | 118 | 4.2 | -2.5 | -0.09 | -0.4 | 36% | -0.17 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | -0.4 | -0.11 | 25% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Philip RiversQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.1 | -1.15 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 25 | 87 | 3.5 | -1.6 | -0.06 | 40% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael PittmanWR | 5 | 3 | 26 | 5.2 | +2.5 | +0.49 | 60% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Alec PierceWR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +1.7 | +1.73 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Josh DownsWR | 5 | 3 | 13 | 2.6 | -0.2 | -0.04 | 20% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 5 | 5 | 32 | 6.4 | -0.2 | -0.05 | 60% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 4 | 3 | 14 | 3.5 | -1.1 | -0.27 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 6 | 3 | 19 | 3.2 | -3.4 | -0.57 | 17% | -0.07 | 0 |
SEA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam DarnoldQB | 37 | 22/34 | 268 | 7.2 | +4.0 | +0.11 | +0.6 | 54% | +0.32 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam DarnoldQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.1 | +0.05 | 100% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Zach CharbonnetRB | 8 | 31 | 3.9 | -0.2 | -0.02 | 50% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Rashid ShaheedWR | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -1.0 | -0.99 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Kenneth Walker IIIRB | 9 | 17 | 1.9 | -5.2 | -0.58 | 11% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR | 9 | 7 | 113 | 12.6 | +6.2 | +0.69 | 78% | +0.37 | 0 |
| AJ BarnerTE | 6 | 3 | 27 | 4.5 | +1.7 | +0.28 | 33% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Rashid ShaheedWR | 7 | 5 | 74 | 10.6 | +1.5 | +0.22 | 71% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Eric SaubertTE | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.70 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Cooper KuppWR | 7 | 5 | 46 | 6.6 | -0.2 | -0.03 | 57% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Brady RussellRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.45 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kenneth Walker IIIRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.52 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Zach CharbonnetRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.9 | -1.89 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |