Panthers
17–20
CAR @ NO
Saints
Final · Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · 2025 Week 15 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Ground Share
Saints had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
CAR 43%57% NO
48.0%GROUND62.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Young | 31 | +0.34 | 38.7% | 3.2% | +10.7 | 9.1 | 75.0% | 67.9% | +7.1 |
| T.Shough | 39 | +0.26 | 56.4% | 12.8% | +10.0 | 8.6 | 77.4% | 73.4% | +4.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CAR | NO |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.09 | +0.12 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.34 | +0.25 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.18 | -0.18 |
| Success Rate | 36.8% | 51.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 26.3% | 27.3% |
| Yards / Play | 4.93 | 5.12 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.12 | +0.08 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 52.9% | 53.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.1 | 6.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.84 | 2.63 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.0% | 38.1% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.0% | 19.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.9 | 23.0 |
| Plays | 57 | 66 |
| Total Yards | 281 | 338 |
| Total EPA | +5.3 | +8.1 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
CAR 57%43% NO
3.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.4 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Smyth 47 yard field goal is GOOD. Penalty on CAR-C.Smith-Wade, Defensive Offside, declined — NO +1.1
Kickoffs · CAR +0.4Punts · CAR +1.5Kicks · NO +1.1
Player Stats
CAR
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce YoungQB | 31 | 15/24 | 201 | 6.5 | +10.7 | +0.34 | +7.1 | 39% | +0.29 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rico DowdleRB | 16 | 49 | 3.1 | +0.7 | +0.05 | 44% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Bryce YoungQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.49 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | -4.8 | -0.60 | 25% | -0.10 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen CokerWR | 4 | 4 | 60 | 15.0 | +6.8 | +1.69 | 75% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Xavier LegetteWR | 3 | 2 | 39 | 13.0 | +2.9 | +0.95 | 33% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +1.8 | +1.75 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Tetairoa McMillanWR | 4 | 2 | 25 | 6.3 | +1.3 | +0.32 | 25% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Rico DowdleRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | +0.04 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jimmy Horn Jr.WR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | -0.3 | -0.32 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tommy TrembleTE | 4 | 2 | 13 | 3.3 | -0.5 | -0.12 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Ja'Tavion SandersTE | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | -0.7 | -0.34 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzgeraldK | 1/1(40) | 40 | 2/2 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 3 | 142 | 47.3 | 47.3 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba HubbardRB | 2 | 50 | 25.0 | 27 | 0 |
| Trevor EtienneRB | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | 25 | 0 |
| Rico DowdleRB | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | 23 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor EtienneRB | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 16 | 0 |
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler ShoughQB | 39 | 24/31 | 274 | 7.0 | +10.0 | +0.26 | +4.1 | 56% | +0.36 | 1 | 0 |
| Spencer RattlerQB | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | +0.1 | +0.11 | — | 100% | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler ShoughQB | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | +3.3 | +0.81 | 75% | +0.24 | 0 |
| Audric EstiméRB | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | -0.2 | -0.05 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Devin NealRB | 7 | 28 | 4.0 | -0.3 | -0.05 | 43% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Taysom HillTE | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -0.8 | -0.40 | 50% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Mason TiptonWR | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | -2.1 | -2.15 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Evan HullRB | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | -3.4 | -0.85 | 0% | -0.11 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devaughn VeleWR | 6 | 5 | 69 | 11.5 | +9.0 | +1.50 | 83% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Chris OlaveWR | 9 | 6 | 85 | 9.4 | +3.9 | +0.44 | 56% | +0.34 | 1 |
| Juwan JohnsonTE | 4 | 4 | 30 | 7.5 | +3.2 | +0.79 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Audric EstiméRB | 3 | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | +1.2 | +0.40 | 67% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kevin Austin Jr.WR | 5 | 3 | 33 | 6.6 | +0.5 | +0.11 | 40% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jack StollTE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.29 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Devin NealRB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.24 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Mason TiptonWR | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | -0.6 | -0.28 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie SmythK | 2/2(42, 47) | 47 | 2/2 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai KroegerP | 2 | 95 | 47.5 | 39.5 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan HullRB | 3 | 72 | 24.0 | 29 | 0 |
| Mason TiptonWR | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 19 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante PettisWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |