Bills
35–31
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · 2025 Week 15 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BUF 53%47% NE
58.0%GROUND51.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 33 | +0.29 | 45.5% | 6.1% | +9.5 | 9.1 | 73.1% | 62.7% | +10.4 |
| D.Maye | 29 | -0.02 | 51.7% | 10.3% | -0.4 | 10.9 | 63.6% | 64.2% | -0.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  BUF |  NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.26 | +0.24 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.29 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.23 | +0.59 |
| Success Rate | 46.9% | 54.9% |
| Pass | 45.5% | 51.7% |
| Rush | 48.4% | 59.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 9.4% | 9.8% |
| Pass | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Rush | 12.9% | 18.2% |
| Yards / Play | 5.50 | 7.55 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.10 | +0.36 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 64.3% | 45.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.5 | 6.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.01 | 6.09 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 54.8% | 72.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 6.5% | 18.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 7.8% | 13.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 39.3 | 25.4 |
| Plays | 64 | 51 |
| Total Yards | 352 | 385 |
| Total EPA | +16.7 | +12.5 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Special Teams
Bills won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
BUF 71%29% NE
7.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.0 pts won
Biggest swing · A.Borregales kicks 60 yards from NE 35 to BUF 5. R.Davis to BUF 43 for 38 yards. PENALTY on NE-B.Schooler,… — BUF +1.8
Kickoffs · BUF +5.7Punts · NE +1.0Kicks · NE +0.4
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 33 | 19/28 | 193 | 5.9 | +9.5 | +0.29 | +10.4 | 46% | +0.35 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 22 | 107 | 4.9 | +4.6 | +0.21 | 46% | +0.11 | 2 |
| Josh AllenQB | 8 | 51 | 6.4 | +3.3 | +0.41 | 63% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | -0.7 | -0.17 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson KnoxTE | 4 | 3 | 37 | 9.3 | +6.5 | +1.64 | 75% | +0.17 | 2 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 5 | 5 | 65 | 13.0 | +4.8 | +0.97 | 60% | +0.27 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 4 | 3 | 34 | 8.5 | +1.6 | +0.41 | 75% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Josh PalmerWR | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8.0 | +1.2 | +0.61 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +0.9 | +0.86 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jackson HawesTE | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.8 | +0.78 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 | +0.1 | +0.05 | 33% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 3 | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | -0.7 | -0.22 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brandin CooksWR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -0.57 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | — | — | 5/5 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch WishnowskyP | 4 | 162 | 40.5 | 39.3 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DavisRB | 4 | 164 | 41.0 | 58 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 12 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 29 | 14/23 | 155 | 6.0 | -0.5 | -0.01 | -0.5 | 52% | -0.27 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 14 | 148 | 10.6 | +8.3 | +0.59 | 50% | +0.25 | 2 |
| Drake MayeQB | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | +4.4 | +1.09 | 100% | +0.05 | 2 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 6 | 50 | 8.3 | +3.0 | +0.50 | 67% | +0.08 | 0 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.23 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayshon BoutteWR | 1 | 1 | 30 | 30.0 | +3.1 | +3.10 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 3 | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | +1.0 | +0.34 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 3 | 2 | 13 | 4.3 | -0.2 | -0.07 | 67% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 8 | 4 | 41 | 5.1 | -0.3 | -0.04 | 50% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6.0 | -0.4 | -0.12 | 33% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Stefon DiggsWR | 4 | 3 | 26 | 6.5 | -1.3 | -0.33 | 50% | -0.07 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy BorregalesK | 1/1(36) | 36 | 4/4 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce BaringerP | 3 | 163 | 54.3 | 50.3 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 4 | 97 | 24.3 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus JonesCB | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 3 | 0 |