Falcons
29–28
ATL @ TB
Buccaneers
Final · Thu, Dec 11, 2025 · 2025 Week 15 · Raymond James Stadium
Ground Share
Falcons controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
ATL 59%41% TB
66.7%GROUND46.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Cousins | 44 | +0.32 | 54.5% | 2.3% | +14.2 | 8.3 | 73.2% | 65.5% | +7.7 |
| B.Mayfield | 40 | +0.06 | 45.0% | 12.5% | +2.6 | 11.5 | 59.4% | 60.5% | -1.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  ATL |  TB |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.25 | +0.04 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.32 | +0.06 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.11 | -0.01 |
| Success Rate | 50.8% | 45.9% |
| Pass | 54.5% | 45.0% |
| Rush | 42.9% | 47.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 13.9% | 13.1% |
| Pass | 11.4% | 12.5% |
| Rush | 19.1% | 14.3% |
| Yards / Play | 7.32 | 5.54 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.17 | +0.02 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 44.4% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 10.6 | 8.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.07 | 2.83 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 61.9% | 47.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 14.3% | 28.6% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 7.7% | 16.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 28.6 | 27.9 |
| Plays | 65 | 61 |
| Total Yards | 476 | 338 |
| Total EPA | +16.5 | +2.4 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
ATL 53%47% TB
4.9 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.3 pts won
Biggest swing · C.McLaughlin 52 yard field goal is GOOD — TB +1.3
Kickoffs · ATL +1.8Punts · ATL +0.5Kicks · TB +1.6
Player Stats
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk CousinsQB | 44 | 30/43 | 373 | 8.3 | +14.2 | +0.32 | +7.7 | 55% | +0.73 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 19 | 93 | 4.9 | +1.6 | +0.09 | 42% | -0.11 | 1 |
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | +0.6 | +0.31 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle PittsTE | 12 | 11 | 166 | 13.8 | +14.4 | +1.20 | 75% | +0.45 | 3 |
| David SillsWR | 10 | 6 | 78 | 7.8 | +2.5 | +0.25 | 50% | +0.33 | 0 |
| Darnell MooneyWR | 6 | 3 | 35 | 5.8 | +1.3 | +0.22 | 33% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Charlie WoernerTE | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 11 | 8 | 82 | 7.5 | -0.2 | -0.02 | 64% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zane GonzalezK | 1/1(43) | 43 | 2/2 | 5 | 1 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley PinionP | 4 | 170 | 42.5 | 32.5 | 53 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deven ThompkinsWR | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 10 | 0 |
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 40 | 19/34 | 277 | 6.3 | +2.6 | +0.06 | -1.1 | 45% | +0.10 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +1.2 | +1.20 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 4 | 7 | 1.8 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 50% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Baker MayfieldQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.8 | -0.79 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 16 | 60 | 3.8 | -1.5 | -0.09 | 44% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 7 | 4 | 64 | 9.1 | +3.5 | +0.50 | 57% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Jalen McMillanWR | 2 | 2 | 38 | 19.0 | +2.7 | +1.34 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Mike EvansWR | 12 | 6 | 132 | 11.0 | +2.2 | +0.19 | 50% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Devin CulpTE | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +1.7 | +1.71 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 5 | 4 | 20 | 4.0 | +1.4 | +0.29 | 60% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.3 | +0.32 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -0.22 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Tez JohnsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.35 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 2/2(49, 52) | 52 | 2/2 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 4 | 165 | 41.3 | 36.3 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean TuckerRB | 2 | 42 | 21.0 | 27 | 0 |
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 1 | 30 | 30.0 | 30 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |