Steelers
27–22
PIT @ BAL
Ravens
Final · Sun, Dec 7, 2025 · 2025 Week 14 · M&T Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Ravens had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
PIT 47%53% BAL
51.7%GROUND57.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Rodgers | 34 | +0.31 | +10.6 | 6.2 | 67.7% | 65.4% | +4.3 |
| L.Jackson | 35 | -0.14 | -4.8 | 7.8 | 57.6% | 62.6% | -5.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | PIT | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.24 | +0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.34 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.10 | +0.05 |
| Success Rate | 41.2% | 44.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 23.5% | 19.2% |
| Yards / Play | 6.25 | 5.38 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.11 | -0.03 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 46.7% | 47.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.3 | 4.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.03 | 3.97 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 26.7% | 45.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 13.3% | 11.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.7% | 9.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.4 | 27.5 |
| Plays | 51 | 78 |
| Total Yards | 319 | 420 |
| Total EPA | +12.4 | +1.9 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Player Stats
PIT
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron RodgersQB | 35 | 23/34 | 285 | 8.1 | +11.9 | +0.34 | +4.3 | 43% | +0.36 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor HeywardFB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +2.5 | +2.46 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | +2.4 | +0.59 | 75% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Kaleb JohnsonRB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -0.7 | -0.36 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 8 | 13 | 1.6 | -2.6 | -0.32 | 13% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DK MetcalfWR | 12 | 7 | 148 | 12.3 | +6.8 | +0.57 | 50% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 3 | 3 | 49 | 16.3 | +4.9 | +1.63 | 67% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Calvin Austin IIIWR | 2 | 1 | 31 | 15.5 | +1.4 | +0.72 | 50% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Ben SkowronekWR | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.4 | +1.37 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Darnell WashingtonTE | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +0.8 | +0.76 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Adam ThielenWR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.1 | +0.05 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 7 | 6 | 27 | 3.9 | -0.2 | -0.03 | 29% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jonnu SmithTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.46 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.69 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Pat FreiermuthTE | 3 | 2 | 9 | 3.0 | -1.4 | -0.45 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Aaron RodgersQB | 1 | 1 | -9 | -9.0 | -1.5 | -1.53 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
BAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar JacksonQB | 40 | 19/33 | 231 | 5.8 | -0.8 | -0.02 | -5.0 | 45% | -0.21 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton MitchellRB | 6 | 76 | 12.7 | +2.8 | +0.46 | 33% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Lamar JacksonQB | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +1.8 | +0.88 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Rasheen AliRB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.3 | -0.34 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Zay FlowersWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.43 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 25 | 94 | 3.8 | -2.0 | -0.08 | 44% | -0.23 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay FlowersWR | 11 | 8 | 124 | 11.3 | +7.2 | +0.65 | 55% | +0.36 | 0 |
| Isaiah LikelyTE | 6 | 4 | 25 | 4.2 | +2.5 | +0.42 | 67% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Charlie KolarTE | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | +0.9 | +0.93 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Rashod BatemanWR | 3 | 2 | 23 | 7.7 | -0.1 | -0.02 | 67% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.09 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Patrick RicardRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.70 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| DeAndre HopkinsWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -1.47 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Rasheen AliRB | 3 | 2 | 11 | 3.7 | -4.3 | -1.42 | 33% | -0.11 | 0 |
| Mark AndrewsTE | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 | -4.3 | -0.87 | 20% | -0.21 | 0 |