Saints
24–20
NO @ TB
Buccaneers
Final · Sun, Dec 7, 2025 · 2025 Week 14 · Raymond James Stadium
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
NO 51%49% TB
42.1%GROUND40.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Shough | 24 | +0.16 | 54.2% | 12.5% | +3.8 | 7.9 | 65.0% | 67.3% | -2.3 |
| B.Mayfield | 35 | -0.23 | 34.3% | 0.0% | -8.1 | 6.8 | 50.0% | 66.5% | -16.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NO | TB |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.00 | -0.15 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.16 | -0.23 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.08 | -0.17 |
| Success Rate | 39.3% | 39.2% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 30.4% | 21.6% |
| Yards / Play | 4.70 | 4.07 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.00 | -0.02 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 38.5% | 29.2% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.5 | 7.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.25 | 3.06 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 41.4% | 38.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.7% | 23.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.7% | 12.2% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 37.6 | 32.9 |
| Plays | 56 | 74 |
| Total Yards | 263 | 301 |
| Total EPA | +0.1 | -11.1 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Buccaneers had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
NO 36%64% TB
4.4 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.9 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Smyth 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — TB +3.8
Kickoffs · NO +0.2Punts · NO +1.1Kicks · TB +4.9
Player Stats
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler ShoughQB | 24 | 13/20 | 134 | 5.6 | +3.8 | +0.16 | -2.3 | 54% | +0.47 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler ShoughQB | 4 | 45 | 11.3 | +3.1 | +0.77 | 50% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Evan HullRB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Audric EstiméRB | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | -0.4 | -0.13 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Taysom HillTE | 2 | -1 | -0.5 | -1.3 | -0.66 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Devin NealRB | 19 | 70 | 3.7 | -4.2 | -0.22 | 26% | -0.07 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devaughn VeleWR | 5 | 3 | 40 | 8.0 | +3.1 | +0.62 | 60% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Juwan JohnsonTE | 4 | 4 | 38 | 9.5 | +2.9 | +0.73 | 75% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Devin NealRB | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +2.0 | +1.97 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Foster MoreauTE | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +1.8 | +1.76 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Evan HullRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.1 | +0.15 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jack StollTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.51 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Taysom HillTE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -0.52 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Chris OlaveWR | 5 | 3 | 30 | 6.0 | -1.4 | -0.28 | 60% | +0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie SmythK | 1/2(30 · missed 48) | 30 | 3/3 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai KroegerP | 3 | 152 | 50.7 | 44.0 | 54 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante PettisWR | 4 | 84 | 21.0 | 23 | 0 |
| Mason TiptonWR | 1 | 54 | 54.0 | 54 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante PettisWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 35 | 14/30 | 160 | 4.6 | -8.1 | -0.23 | -16.5 | 34% | -0.47 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 11 | 53 | 4.8 | +2.9 | +0.27 | 55% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Baker MayfieldQB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.9 | +0.95 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 7 | 29 | 4.1 | -1.3 | -0.19 | 43% | -0.05 | 1 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 15 | 55 | 3.7 | -6.8 | -0.45 | 33% | -0.18 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky IrvingRB | 3 | 2 | 26 | 8.7 | +1.7 | +0.58 | 33% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Sterling ShepardWR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 100% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 8 | 5 | 55 | 6.9 | -0.6 | -0.07 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -0.52 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Cade OttonTE | 4 | 3 | 19 | 4.8 | -1.1 | -0.28 | 50% | -0.14 | 0 |
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 9 | 2 | 15 | 1.7 | -2.8 | -0.31 | 22% | -0.14 | 0 |
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -5.6 | -5.59 | 0% | -0.17 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 2/2(41, 37) | 41 | 2/2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 1 | 31 | 31.0 | 31.0 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | 23 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |