Texans
20–16
HOU @ IND
Colts
Final · Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · 2025 Week 13 · Lucas Oil Stadium
Ground Share
Texans had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
HOU 53%47% IND
49.8%GROUND45.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 37 | +0.21 | +7.6 | 11.2 | 62.9% | 62.7% | +6.0 |
| D.Jones | 28 | +0.02 | +0.6 | 7.3 | 51.9% | 64.8% | -8.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | HOU | IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.03 | -0.03 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.21 | +0.02 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.21 | -0.28 |
| Success Rate | 42.1% | 38.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 23.7% | 27.8% |
| Yards / Play | 4.79 | 5.20 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.03 | +0.14 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 47.1% | 28.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.7 | 8.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.52 | 2.83 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 35.3% | 39.1% |
| Stuff Rate | 29.4% | 21.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.5% | 13.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.9 | 30.7 |
| Plays | 76 | 54 |
| Total Yards | 364 | 281 |
| Total EPA | +2.3 | -1.8 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 37 | 22/35 | 256 | 6.9 | +7.6 | +0.20 | +6.0 | 46% | +0.21 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico CollinsWR | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +1.5 | +1.47 | 100% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | -0.7 | -0.08 | 33% | -0.02 | 1 |
| C.J. StroudQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -1.22 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 19 | 64 | 3.4 | -2.0 | -0.11 | 37% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Cade StoverTE | 4 | 3 | 0.8 | -4.3 | -1.07 | 50% | -0.12 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico CollinsWR | 10 | 5 | 98 | 9.8 | +6.2 | +0.62 | 50% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 5 | 5 | 65 | 13.0 | +5.9 | +1.18 | 80% | +0.23 | 0 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 8 | 7 | 55 | 6.9 | +1.3 | +0.16 | 63% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Cade StoverTE | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +0.6 | +0.29 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 5 | 2 | 39 | 7.8 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 40% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.4 | -0.38 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.77 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 28 | 14/27 | 195 | 7.0 | +0.6 | +0.02 | -8.8 | 39% | -0.06 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.6 | -0.64 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 21 | 85 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -0.09 | 38% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.1 | -4.10 | 0% | -0.14 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec PierceWR | 5 | 4 | 78 | 15.6 | +6.5 | +1.30 | 80% | +0.23 | 1 |
| Tyler WarrenTE | 4 | 3 | 22 | 5.5 | +0.8 | +0.21 | 50% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Andrew OgletreeTE | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.51 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Josh DownsWR | 6 | 2 | 44 | 7.3 | +0.3 | +0.04 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 5 | 3 | 36 | 7.2 | -0.2 | -0.04 | 20% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanWR | 4 | 1 | 13 | 3.3 | -3.5 | -0.86 | 25% | -0.21 | 0 |