Bills
26–7
BUF @ PIT
Steelers
Final · Sun, Nov 30, 2025 · 2025 Week 13 · Acrisure Stadium
Ground Share
Bills dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
BUF 71%29% PIT
59.5%GROUND23.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 27 | +0.25 | 44.4% | 0.0% | +6.6 | 1.7 | 65.2% | 73.7% | -8.5 |
| A.Rodgers | 22 | -0.44 | 36.4% | 4.5% | -9.6 | 5.0 | 52.6% | 72.8% | -20.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.10 | -0.42 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.25 | -0.47 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.02 | -0.35 |
| Success Rate | 46.0% | 32.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 33.8% | 20.9% |
| Yards / Play | 5.03 | 3.86 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.03 | -0.40 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 58.8% | 30.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.0 | 6.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.56 | 2.42 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 42.5% | 33.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 12.8% | 22.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.8% | 18.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 21.9 | 30.1 |
| Plays | 74 | 43 |
| Total Yards | 372 | 166 |
| Total EPA | +7.4 | -18.2 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 2 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
BUF 52%48% PIT
4.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.7 pts won
Biggest swing · M.Prater kicks 63 yards from BUF 35 to PIT 2. K.Williams to PIT 25 for 23 yards. PENALTY on PIT-P.Wilson, U… — BUF +1.1
Kickoffs · BUF +1.9Punts · PIT +1.2Kicks · PIT +0.4
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 27 | 15/23 | 145 | 5.4 | +6.6 | +0.25 | -8.5 | 44% | +0.11 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | +4.0 | +1.00 | 75% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | +2.8 | +1.39 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 9 | 62 | 6.9 | +1.9 | +0.21 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 32 | 144 | 4.5 | -7.9 | -0.25 | 34% | -0.15 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon ColemanWR | 3 | 2 | 9 | 3.0 | +4.4 | +1.47 | 67% | +0.07 | 1 |
| James CookRB | 3 | 3 | 33 | 11.0 | +3.1 | +1.03 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Brandin CooksWR | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +2.3 | +2.28 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 4 | 3 | 28 | 7.0 | +1.6 | +0.40 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jackson HawesTE | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.8 | +0.83 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 5 | 3 | 20 | 4.0 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 40% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 | -2.4 | -0.61 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Gabe DavisWR | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | -4.5 | -2.25 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | 2/2(27, 37) | 37 | 2/3 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch WishnowskyP | 2 | 99 | 49.5 | 33.5 | 52 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | 21 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 15 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
PIT
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason RudolphQB | 3 | 0/3 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.3 | -0.76 | -67.3 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 | 1 |
| Aaron RodgersQB | 22 | 10/21 | 108 | 4.9 | -9.6 | -0.43 | -20.2 | 36% | -0.34 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 10 | 35 | 3.5 | +0.6 | +0.06 | 50% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Kaleb JohnsonRB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -0.4 | -0.19 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Aaron RodgersQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.2 | -2.18 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | -4.5 | -0.89 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DK MetcalfWR | 5 | 3 | 32 | 6.4 | +5.0 | +0.99 | 80% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 3 | 2 | 25 | 8.3 | +0.1 | +0.05 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ben SkowronekWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.27 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jaylen WarrenRB | 4 | 2 | 9 | 2.3 | -0.7 | -0.16 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Jonnu SmithTE | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.8 | -0.38 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Darnell WashingtonTE | 4 | 2 | 45 | 11.3 | -1.1 | -0.27 | 50% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Roman WilsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -1.56 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Calvin Austin IIIWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.2 | -1.61 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris BoswellK | — | — | 1/1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corliss WaitmanP | 4 | 161 | 40.3 | 40.3 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ke'Shawn WilliamsWR | 4 | 89 | 22.3 | 25 | 0 |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 1 | 26 | 26.0 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Austin IIIWR | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 12 | 0 |