Texans
16–13
HOU @ TEN
Titans
Final · Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · 2025 Week 11 · Nissan Stadium
Ground Share
Texans controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
HOU 61%39% TEN
44.3%GROUND28.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Mills | 45 | -0.00 | -0.2 | 8.5 | 63.4% | 65.0% | -0.0 |
| C.Ward | 40 | -0.07 | -2.7 | 7.2 | 64.9% | 68.7% | -2.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | HOU | TEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.07 | -0.10 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.01 | +0.00 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.24 | -0.50 |
| Success Rate | 41.4% | 37.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 20.0% | 17.0% |
| Yards / Play | 4.50 | 3.88 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.05 | -0.14 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 28.6% | 43.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.5 | 8.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.29 | 1.59 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 42.9% | 21.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 28.6% | 21.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 20.0% | 11.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 35.4 | 19.5 |
| Plays | 70 | 59 |
| Total Yards | 315 | 229 |
| Total EPA | -4.6 | -5.7 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Player Stats
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis MillsQB | 47 | 26/41 | 254 | 5.4 | -0.3 | -0.01 | +0.0 | 47% | +0.12 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick ChubbRB | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | +0.8 | +0.27 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 18 | 44 | 2.4 | -5.0 | -0.28 | 22% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico CollinsWR | 10 | 9 | 92 | 9.2 | +7.8 | +0.78 | 80% | +0.41 | 1 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 7 | 4 | 55 | 7.9 | +4.5 | +0.65 | 57% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 5 | 3 | 42 | 8.4 | +1.6 | +0.33 | 60% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.5 | +0.46 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 9 | 6 | 51 | 5.7 | +0.4 | +0.05 | 56% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | -0.1 | -0.13 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | -0.2 | -0.19 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Christian KirkWR | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 | -1.6 | -0.40 | 25% | -0.07 | 0 |
TEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam WardQB | 43 | 24/37 | 204 | 4.7 | +0.1 | +0.00 | -2.0 | 44% | +0.05 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyjae SpearsRB | 4 | 3 | 0.8 | -3.0 | -0.74 | 0% | -0.12 | 0 |
| Tony PollardRB | 10 | 22 | 2.2 | -4.0 | -0.40 | 20% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chig OkonkwoTE | 3 | 3 | 56 | 18.7 | +4.5 | +1.49 | 67% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Gunnar HelmTE | 5 | 4 | 29 | 5.8 | +1.3 | +0.26 | 60% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Tyjae SpearsRB | 5 | 5 | 31 | 6.2 | +1.2 | +0.25 | 60% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Mason KinseyWR | 3 | 1 | 14 | 4.7 | +1.2 | +0.41 | 33% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Chimere DikeWR | 3 | 2 | 14 | 4.7 | +1.0 | +0.33 | 33% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Calvin RidleyWR | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +0.8 | +0.84 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tony PollardRB | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | -1.1 | -0.37 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Van JeffersonWR | 7 | 3 | 22 | 3.1 | -1.4 | -0.21 | 43% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Elic AyomanorWR | 6 | 2 | 11 | 1.8 | -2.0 | -0.34 | 17% | -0.10 | 0 |