Jaguars
29–36
JAX @ HOU
Texans
Final · Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · 2025 Week 10 · NRG Stadium
Ground Share
Texans controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
JAX 36%64% HOU
34.9%GROUND61.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Lawrence | 32 | -0.21 | 40.6% | 15.6% | -6.8 | 6.3 | 56.5% | 71.0% | -14.4 |
| D.Mills | 49 | +0.07 | 46.9% | 4.1% | +3.5 | 9.5 | 61.4% | 64.6% | -3.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | JAX | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.18 | +0.12 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.21 | +0.07 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.23 | +0.08 |
| Success Rate | 41.0% | 51.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.3% | 29.2% |
| Yards / Play | 3.49 | 5.72 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.21 | -0.04 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 36.4% | 64.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.6 | 6.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 1.95 | 4.05 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 30.4% | 60.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 26.1% | 15.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 24.6% | 13.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 39.0 | 32.9 |
| Plays | 61 | 72 |
| Total Yards | 213 | 412 |
| Total EPA | -10.9 | +8.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Special Teams
Jaguars dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
JAX 80%20% HOU
14.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.6 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Little kicks 63 yards from JAX 35 to HOU 2. T.Smith to HOU 24 for 22 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by JAX-D.S… — JAX +6.0
Kickoffs · JAX +3.9Punts · JAX +5.5Kicks · JAX +1.5
Player Stats
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 32 | 13/23 | 152 | 4.8 | -6.8 | -0.21 | -14.4 | 41% | -0.36 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.3 | +0.29 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | -1.4 | -0.34 | 25% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Parker WashingtonWR | 2 | -4 | -2.0 | -1.7 | -0.86 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 16 | 58 | 3.6 | -2.6 | -0.16 | 38% | +0.02 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 3 | 3 | 41 | 13.7 | +4.3 | +1.43 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Johnny MundtTE | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10.5 | +2.4 | +1.20 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | +1.5 | +0.75 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Austin TrammellWR | 3 | 2 | 33 | 11.0 | +0.2 | +0.08 | 67% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 4 | 2 | 19 | 4.8 | +0.1 | +0.02 | 25% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Parker WashingtonWR | 7 | 3 | 33 | 4.7 | -0.6 | -0.09 | 43% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Dyami BrownWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.67 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | -0.9 | -0.91 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam LittleK | 3/3(32, 53, 33) | 53 | 2/2 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan CookeP | 3 | 137 | 45.7 | 43.0 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 5 | 143 | 28.6 | 41 | 0 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 17 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker WashingtonWR | 2 | 90 | 45.0 | 73 | 1 |
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis MillsQB | 49 | 27/45 | 302 | 6.2 | +3.5 | +0.07 | -3.3 | 47% | +0.27 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick ChubbRB | 5 | 47 | 9.4 | +2.9 | +0.58 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 14 | 63 | 4.5 | +0.9 | +0.07 | 50% | -0.06 | 1 |
| Davis MillsQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -1.26 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 4 | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | +4.4 | +1.09 | 75% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 11 | 7 | 53 | 4.8 | +4.3 | +0.39 | 55% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 7 | 5 | 42 | 6.0 | +3.3 | +0.47 | 57% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Woody MarksRB | 3 | 2 | 18 | 6.0 | +1.6 | +0.53 | 67% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | +0.02 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Nico CollinsWR | 15 | 7 | 136 | 9.1 | -3.2 | -0.21 | 40% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Christian KirkWR | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | -7.3 | -2.42 | 0% | -0.16 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew WrightK | 1/1(23) | 23 | 1/1 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy TownsendP | 2 | 108 | 54.0 | 9.0 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton BerriosWR | 1 | 32 | 32.0 | 32 | 0 |
| Dameon PierceRB | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 22 | 0 |
| Tremon SmithCB | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 17 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 8 | 0 |