Ravens
27–19
BAL @ MIN
Vikings
Final · Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · 2025 Week 10 · U.S. Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Vikings had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BAL 46%54% MIN
39.6%GROUND46.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.Jackson | 31 | -0.04 | -1.4 | 4.1 | 56.7% | 74.2% | -13.5 |
| J.McCarthy | 44 | -0.22 | -9.9 | 10.9 | 46.5% | 60.4% | -11.6 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BAL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.01 | -0.07 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.05 | -0.19 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.01 | -0.01 |
| Success Rate | 48.5% | 40.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 26.5% | 17.2% |
| Yards / Play | 4.74 | 5.70 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.10 | -0.04 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 30.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.4 | 7.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.41 | 4.13 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 43.8% | 64.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 18.8% | 14.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.8% | 23.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 32.3 | 27.9 |
| Plays | 68 | 64 |
| Total Yards | 322 | 365 |
| Total EPA | +0.7 | -4.5 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Player Stats
BAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar JacksonQB | 33 | 17/29 | 184 | 5.6 | -1.8 | -0.05 | -13.5 | 46% | +0.19 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar JacksonQB | 5 | 22 | 4.4 | +1.8 | +0.35 | 80% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Justice HillRB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.5 | +0.53 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Patrick RicardRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.5 | +0.51 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Keaton MitchellRB | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | +0.3 | +0.08 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Zay FlowersWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | -0.3 | -0.27 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 20 | 75 | 3.8 | -2.4 | -0.12 | 35% | +0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay FlowersWR | 6 | 4 | 75 | 12.5 | +3.1 | +0.52 | 67% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Rashod BatemanWR | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5.0 | +1.3 | +0.65 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Charlie KolarTE | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11.5 | +0.6 | +0.30 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Mark AndrewsTE | 5 | 3 | 14 | 2.8 | +0.3 | +0.05 | 40% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Justice HillRB | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6.0 | -0.3 | -0.14 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.23 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| DeAndre HopkinsWR | 4 | 2 | 16 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -0.45 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Isaiah LikelyTE | 4 | 2 | 17 | 4.3 | -2.3 | -0.58 | 25% | -0.04 | 0 |
MIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthyQB | 47 | 20/42 | 283 | 6.0 | -8.8 | -0.19 | -11.6 | 34% | -0.24 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan MasonRB | 4 | 25 | 6.3 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Aaron JonesRB | 9 | 47 | 5.2 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 56% | +0.01 | 1 |
| J.J. McCarthyQB | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | 0% | +0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen NailorWR | 6 | 5 | 124 | 20.7 | +15.3 | +2.54 | 83% | +0.26 | 1 |
| Jordan MasonRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.2 | +0.17 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| T.J. HockensonTE | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.3 | -0.16 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Adam ThielenWR | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5.3 | -1.4 | -0.47 | 67% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Aaron JonesRB | 6 | 3 | 22 | 3.7 | -2.5 | -0.42 | 17% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Jordan AddisonWR | 11 | 3 | 35 | 3.2 | -8.0 | -0.73 | 27% | -0.14 | 0 |
| Justin JeffersonWR | 12 | 4 | 37 | 3.1 | -10.1 | -0.84 | 25% | -0.23 | 0 |