Falcons
25–31
ATL @ IND
Colts
Final/OT · Sun, Nov 9, 2025 · 2025 Week 10 · Lucas Oil Stadium
Ground Share
Colts controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
ATL 35%65% IND
34.3%GROUND63.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Penix | 32 | -0.25 | -8.1 | 10.3 | 41.4% | 64.3% | -16.4 |
| D.Jones | 34 | -0.06 | -2.1 | 8.0 | 70.4% | 70.0% | +3.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | ATL | IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.02 | +0.16 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.29 | +0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.14 | +0.34 |
| Success Rate | 45.9% | 55.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 27.9% | 30.3% |
| Yards / Play | 4.77 | 6.83 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.26 | +0.41 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 11.1% | 25.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.1 | 8.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.97 | 5.34 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 60.7% | 60.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.2% | 14.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.3 | 32.2 |
| Plays | 61 | 76 |
| Total Yards | 291 | 519 |
| Total EPA | -1.4 | +12.4 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 2 |
Player Stats
ATL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr.QB | 31 | 12/28 | 150 | 4.8 | -9.1 | -0.29 | -16.3 | 36% | -0.37 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler AllgeierRB | 11 | 57 | 5.2 | +3.8 | +0.35 | 73% | +0.12 | 2 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 17 | 84 | 4.9 | +0.2 | +0.01 | 41% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake LondonWR | 8 | 6 | 104 | 13.0 | +6.8 | +0.84 | 75% | +0.22 | 1 |
| Charlie WoernerTE | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.2 | +1.16 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kyle PittsTE | 5 | 2 | 38 | 7.6 | +0.6 | +0.12 | 40% | +0.10 | 0 |
| David SillsWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -1.55 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -1.8 | -0.90 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Darnell MooneyWR | 8 | 1 | 17 | 2.1 | -3.3 | -0.41 | 13% | -0.23 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 39 | 19/26 | 247 | 6.3 | +0.5 | +0.01 | +3.1 | 54% | -0.03 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 32 | 244 | 7.6 | +9.5 | +0.30 | 56% | +0.33 | 3 |
| Ashton DulinWR | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | +1.9 | +1.93 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Daniel JonesQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.4 | +0.45 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tyler GoodsonRB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.06 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler WarrenTE | 10 | 8 | 99 | 9.9 | +7.8 | +0.78 | 80% | +0.58 | 0 |
| Alec PierceWR | 7 | 4 | 84 | 12.0 | +5.8 | +0.84 | 57% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 3 | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | +2.6 | +0.87 | 67% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanWR | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +1.1 | +0.53 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ameer AbdullahRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.1 | +0.05 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Mo Alie-CoxTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.40 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Josh DownsWR | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -3.7 | -1.85 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |