Jaguars
30–29
JAX @ LV
Raiders
Final/OT · Sun, Nov 2, 2025 · 2025 Week 9 · Allegiant Stadium
Ground Share
Jaguars had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
JAX 55%45% LV
64.8%GROUND53.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Lawrence | 34 | -0.03 | -0.9 | 8.8 | 69.7% | 69.7% | +0.0 |
| G.Smith | 42 | +0.27 | +11.4 | 4.2 | 72.5% | 74.8% | +1.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | JAX | LV |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.12 | +0.18 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.06 | +0.27 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.38 | -0.17 |
| Success Rate | 49.4% | 54.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 32.9% | 28.6% |
| Yards / Play | 4.65 | 5.25 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.05 | +0.21 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 63.2% | 63.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.86 | 2.33 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 44.7% | 35.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 26.3% | 35.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.4% | 14.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 37.1 | 31.4 |
| Plays | 79 | 63 |
| Total Yards | 367 | 331 |
| Total EPA | +9.8 | +11.3 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Player Stats
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 38 | 23/33 | 228 | 6.0 | -2.4 | -0.06 | +0.0 | 42% | +0.07 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis EtienneRB | 22 | 84 | 3.8 | +6.2 | +0.28 | 55% | +0.26 | 0 |
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | +4.2 | +0.84 | 80% | +0.08 | 2 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +1.9 | +1.93 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 9 | 29 | 3.2 | +1.8 | +0.20 | 56% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Dyami BrownWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.2 | +0.22 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker WashingtonWR | 9 | 8 | 90 | 10.0 | +4.8 | +0.53 | 67% | +0.34 | 0 |
| Brian Thomas Jr.WR | 5 | 3 | 55 | 11.0 | +3.8 | +0.76 | 60% | +0.20 | 0 |
| Tim JonesWR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +1.1 | +1.07 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 5 | 5 | 31 | 6.2 | +0.8 | +0.16 | 40% | +0.01 | 0 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.40 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Hunter LongTE | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.17 | 33% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Austin TrammellWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.64 | 0% | -0.12 | 0 |
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 1 | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -0.8 | -0.83 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Dyami BrownWR | 7 | 3 | 25 | 3.6 | -7.8 | -1.11 | 29% | -0.19 | 0 |
LV
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geno SmithQB | 43 | 29/39 | 280 | 6.5 | +11.8 | +0.28 | +1.5 | 61% | +0.25 | 4 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock BowersTE | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.2 | +0.24 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Geno SmithQB | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | +0.2 | +0.06 | 67% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ashton JeantyRB | 13 | 42 | 3.2 | -2.8 | -0.22 | 23% | -0.12 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock BowersTE | 13 | 12 | 127 | 9.8 | +12.9 | +0.99 | 77% | +0.12 | 3 |
| Ashton JeantyRB | 5 | 5 | 47 | 9.4 | +4.8 | +0.96 | 80% | +0.25 | 1 |
| Tre TuckerWR | 4 | 3 | 38 | 9.5 | +2.7 | +0.69 | 75% | +0.45 | 0 |
| Raheem MostertRB | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +2.1 | +2.13 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Ian ThomasTE | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.6 | +0.64 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 6 | 4 | 23 | 3.8 | +0.4 | +0.07 | 67% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Tyler LockettWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.94 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Michael MayerTE | 7 | 3 | 26 | 3.7 | -8.5 | -1.21 | 43% | -0.21 | 0 |