49ers
15–26
SF @ HOU
Texans
Final · Sun, Oct 26, 2025 · 2025 Week 8 · NRG Stadium
Ground Share
Texans controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
SF 37%63% HOU
37.6%GROUND65.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Jones | 36 | -0.06 | 36.1% | 5.6% | -2.1 | 10.6 | 61.3% | 63.6% | -2.4 |
| C.Stroud | 42 | +0.53 | 57.1% | 0.0% | +22.1 | 8.4 | 79.0% | 70.4% | +8.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | SF | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.05 | +0.21 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.06 | +0.53 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.07 | -0.19 |
| Success Rate | 38.3% | 47.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.5% | 24.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.74 | 6.09 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.12 | +0.05 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 27.3% | 61.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 9.7 | 6.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.13 | 3.29 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 37.5% | 46.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 37.5% | 15.6% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.8% | 5.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 34.1 | 19.3 |
| Plays | 47 | 78 |
| Total Yards | 223 | 475 |
| Total EPA | -2.2 | +16.4 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
49ers had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
SF 63%37% HOU
4.9 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.9 pts won
Biggest swing · K.Fairbairn kicks 61 yards from HOU 35 to SF 4. B.Robinson to 50 for 46 yards. PENALTY on HOU-D.Horton, Fac… — SF +2.2
Kickoffs · SF +3.0Punts · HOU +0.2Kicks · HOU +0.8
Player Stats
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac JonesQB | 36 | 19/32 | 198 | 5.5 | -2.1 | -0.06 | -2.3 | 36% | -0.04 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 8 | 25 | 3.1 | -0.7 | -0.09 | 38% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick BourneWR | 4 | 3 | 44 | 11.0 | +2.6 | +0.65 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| George KittleTE | 5 | 4 | 43 | 8.6 | +2.0 | +0.39 | 60% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Jake TongesTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.7 | +0.72 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 6 | 3 | 43 | 7.2 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Skyy MooreWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.80 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Kyle JuszczykFB | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -0.51 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Jauan JenningsWR | 7 | 4 | 45 | 6.4 | -1.1 | -0.16 | 43% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jordan WatkinsWR | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3.5 | -1.3 | -0.63 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Demarcus RobinsonWR | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1.7 | -1.3 | -0.45 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddy PineiroK | — | — | 1/1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas MorsteadP | 5 | 238 | 47.6 | 45.4 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian RobinsonRB | 3 | 99 | 33.0 | 46 | 0 |
| Skyy MooreWR | 2 | 52 | 26.0 | 29 | 0 |
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 42 | 30/39 | 343 | 8.2 | +22.1 | +0.53 | +8.5 | 57% | +0.40 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | +1.5 | +0.49 | 67% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | -0.1 | -0.15 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 11 | 62 | 5.6 | -0.7 | -0.06 | 46% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 17 | 56 | 3.3 | -5.3 | -0.31 | 29% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 6 | 5 | 63 | 10.5 | +5.3 | +0.88 | 67% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 6 | 5 | 69 | 11.5 | +4.9 | +0.81 | 67% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Braxton BerriosWR | 5 | 5 | 38 | 7.6 | +4.1 | +0.81 | 80% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 4 | 4 | 49 | 12.3 | +1.8 | +0.44 | 25% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 3 | 2 | 24 | 8.0 | +1.6 | +0.52 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 8 | 4 | 34 | 4.3 | +1.5 | +0.19 | 50% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | +0.9 | +0.47 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jared WayneWR | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +0.6 | +0.30 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Dare OgunbowaleRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | -0.2 | -0.20 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Harrison BryantTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.71 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi FairbairnK | 4/4(33, 34, 37, 30) | 37 | 2/2 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy TownsendP | 2 | 96 | 48.0 | 48.0 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dameon PierceRB | 3 | 70 | 23.3 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 14 | 0 |