Bills
40–9
BUF @ CAR
Panthers
Final · Sun, Oct 26, 2025 · 2025 Week 8 · Bank of America Stadium
Ground Share
Bills controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
BUF 68%32% CAR
64.1%GROUND30.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Allen | 21 | +0.37 | 47.6% | 9.5% | +7.7 | 6.1 | 63.2% | 70.3% | -7.2 |
| A.Dalton | 32 | -0.54 | 40.6% | 21.9% | -17.2 | 7.5 | 69.6% | 65.9% | +3.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.33 | -0.31 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.34 | -0.54 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.28 | -0.12 |
| Success Rate | 47.6% | 39.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 38.1% | 21.3% |
| Yards / Play | 6.51 | 4.00 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.29 | -0.44 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 57.1% | 41.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.2 | 8.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.81 | 3.42 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 54.3% | 40.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 14.3% | 14.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.1% | 6.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 36.0 | 27.7 |
| Plays | 63 | 61 |
| Total Yards | 410 | 244 |
| Total EPA | +20.6 | -19.1 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 3 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
BUF 56%44% CAR
7.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.5 pts won
Biggest swing · R.Fitzgerald 32 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — BUF +2.9
Kickoffs · CAR +1.6Punts · CAR +0.6Kicks · BUF +3.8
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 21 | 12/19 | 143 | 6.8 | +7.7 | +0.37 | -7.2 | 48% | -0.01 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell TrubiskyQB | 4 | 2/4 | 22 | 5.5 | +0.7 | +0.18 | -19.7 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 19 | 216 | 11.4 | +15.4 | +0.81 | 79% | +0.26 | 2 |
| Josh AllenQB | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | +1.7 | +0.56 | 67% | -0.01 | 2 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | -1.0 | -0.26 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 9 | 16 | 1.8 | -3.8 | -0.42 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 7 | 6 | 88 | 12.6 | +6.4 | +0.91 | 57% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 4 | 3 | 30 | 7.5 | +2.3 | +0.57 | 75% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jackson HawesTE | 3 | 2 | 15 | 5.0 | +1.6 | +0.52 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 3 | 1 | 23 | 7.7 | +1.5 | +0.51 | 33% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +1.3 | +1.32 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 4 | 1 | 14 | 3.5 | -0.3 | -0.06 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.57 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | 2/2(45, 43) | 45 | 4/5 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch WishnowskyP | 3 | 146 | 48.7 | 44.3 | 54 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis SamuelWR | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | 23 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | 21 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | 4 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 |
CAR
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy DaltonQB | 32 | 16/24 | 131 | 4.1 | -17.1 | -0.54 | +3.7 | 41% | -0.41 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rico DowdleRB | 8 | 54 | 6.8 | +1.6 | +0.20 | 50% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Jimmy Horn Jr.WR | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.1 | +0.04 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Trevor EtienneRB | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | -0.8 | -0.20 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Andy DaltonQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.36 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 12 | 34 | 2.8 | -2.7 | -0.23 | 17% | -0.12 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillanWR | 10 | 7 | 99 | 9.9 | +4.8 | +0.48 | 70% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Xavier LegetteWR | 3 | 2 | 17 | 5.7 | +3.0 | +1.01 | 67% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Tommy TrembleTE | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ja'Tavion SandersTE | 3 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | -0.3 | -0.12 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.52 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jimmy Horn Jr.WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -1.31 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jalen CokerWR | 4 | 3 | 36 | 9.0 | -2.8 | -0.70 | 75% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzgeraldK | 1/2(48 · missed 32) | 48 | 0/1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 4 | 211 | 52.8 | 49.3 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor EtienneRB | 4 | 100 | 25.0 | 27 | 0 |
| Rico DowdleRB | 1 | 29 | 29.0 | 29 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 1 | 27 | 27.0 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor EtienneRB | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | 7 | 0 |