49ers
19–30
SF @ TB
Buccaneers
Final · Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · 2025 Week 6 · Raymond James Stadium
Ground Share
Buccaneers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
SF 45%55% TB
49.5%GROUND60.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Jones | 47 | -0.10 | 46.8% | 12.8% | -4.7 | 9.2 | 73.0% | 65.8% | +7.2 |
| B.Mayfield | 25 | +0.59 | 56.0% | 4.0% | +14.7 | 10.4 | 73.9% | 66.4% | +7.5 |
Team Stats
| Metric | SF | TB |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.09 | +0.29 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.10 | +0.59 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.02 | -0.00 |
| Success Rate | 44.9% | 54.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.7% | 35.3% |
| Yards / Play | 5.26 | 6.92 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.11 | +0.33 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 36.8% | 37.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.5 | 7.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.54 | 3.10 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.0% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 25.0% | 12.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.6 | 34.7 |
| Plays | 69 | 51 |
| Total Yards | 363 | 353 |
| Total EPA | -6.2 | +14.8 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Special Teams
49ers won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
SF 75%25% TB
9.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.1 pts won
Biggest swing · C.McLaughlin 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — SF +3.9
Kickoffs · SF +0.6Punts · TB +0.5Kicks · SF +6.1
Player Stats
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac JonesQB | 47 | 27/39 | 304 | 6.5 | -4.7 | -0.10 | +7.2 | 47% | -0.09 | 0 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac JonesQB | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | +0.3 | +0.09 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 17 | 54 | 3.2 | -1.3 | -0.07 | 35% | -0.03 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick BourneWR | 9 | 5 | 142 | 15.8 | +3.9 | +0.44 | 56% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Jake TongesTE | 7 | 6 | 58 | 8.3 | +2.3 | +0.33 | 71% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Christian McCaffreyRB | 8 | 7 | 57 | 7.1 | +1.9 | +0.24 | 63% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Demarcus RobinsonWR | 3 | 2 | 44 | 14.7 | +1.6 | +0.53 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Kyle JuszczykFB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.74 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Marquez Valdes-ScantlingWR | 3 | 2 | 22 | 7.3 | -0.8 | -0.28 | 33% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Brian RobinsonRB | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | -0.9 | -0.32 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jauan JenningsWR | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2.3 | -3.1 | -1.03 | 33% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddy PineiroK | 4/4(52, 54, 42, 29) | 54 | 1/1 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas MorsteadP | 2 | 89 | 44.5 | 41.5 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyy MooreWR | 4 | 109 | 27.3 | 30 | 0 |
| Brian RobinsonRB | 2 | 52 | 26.0 | 31 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyy MooreWR | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 13 | 0 |
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 25 | 17/23 | 263 | 10.5 | +14.7 | +0.59 | +7.5 | 56% | +0.36 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean TuckerRB | 6 | 25 | 4.2 | +1.7 | +0.29 | 50% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 17 | 65 | 3.8 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 59% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Baker MayfieldQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.64 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 4 | 4 | 64 | 16.0 | +7.5 | +1.89 | 100% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Tez JohnsonWR | 3 | 1 | 45 | 15.0 | +3.8 | +1.25 | 33% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Sterling ShepardWR | 3 | 2 | 51 | 17.0 | +3.0 | +0.99 | 67% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 3 | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | +0.2 | +0.06 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Cade OttonTE | 6 | 5 | 51 | 8.5 | +0.1 | +0.02 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 4 | 2 | 24 | 6.0 | -0.3 | -0.09 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 1/2(45 · missed 49) | 45 | 3/3 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 3 | 166 | 55.3 | 47.0 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean TuckerRB | 5 | 127 | 25.4 | 32 | 0 |
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 1 | 31 | 31.0 | 31 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 |