Patriots
2519
NE @ NO
Saints

Final · Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · 2025 Week 6 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

Ground Share

Patriots had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

NE 54%46% NO
54.9%GROUND47.6%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
D.Maye31+0.6261.3%3.2%+19.311.575.0%64.2%+10.8
S.Rattler30-0.0350.0%6.7%-0.88.576.9%70.4%+6.5

Team Stats

MetricNENO
EPA / Play+0.14-0.06
EPA / Dropback+0.62-0.03
EPA / Rush-0.44-0.06
Success Rate48.3%46.4%
Explosive Play Rate25.0%17.9%
Yards / Play5.625.29
Early-Down EPA / Play+0.18+0.05
3rd/4th-Down Conversion44.4%30.0%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance8.46.4
Line Yards / Carry1.602.73
Opportunity Rate (4+)37.5%42.9%
Stuff Rate37.5%14.3%
Havoc Rate Allowed15.0%12.5%
Avg Starting Field Position31.830.9
Plays6056
Total Yards337296
Total EPA+8.3-3.4
Giveaways01

Special Teams

Special teams were a wash

NE 45%55% NO
4.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.2 pts won

Biggest swing · B.Grupe 54 yard field goal is GOODNO +1.3

Kickoffs · NE +0.7Punts · NE +1.1Kicks · NO +2.8

Player Stats

NE

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Drake MayeQB3118/262909.3+19.3+0.62+10.861%+0.6930

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
TreVeyon HendersonRB9273.0-1.9-0.2144%-0.060
Drake MayeQB221.0-2.9-1.4450%-0.150
Rhamondre StevensonRB13181.4-6.7-0.5223%-0.170

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Kayshon BoutteWR559318.6+10.8+2.17100%+0.332
DeMario DouglasWR437117.8+4.4+1.1175%+0.181
Stefon DiggsWR33289.3+3.5+1.1667%+0.110
Mack HollinsWR32289.3+2.7+0.9067%+0.070
Hunter HenryTE33279.0+1.9+0.62100%+0.100
TreVeyon HendersonRB2194.5+0.6+0.2950%+0.000
Austin HooperTE1155.0+0.1+0.10100%+0.010
Rhamondre StevensonRB1000.0-0.6-0.600%-0.010
Kyle WilliamsWR2000.0-2.4-1.190%-0.050

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Andy BorregalesK1/1(24)242/2505

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Bryce BaringerP314448.041.066100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Efton Chism IIIWR512925.8280

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Marcus JonesCB166.060

NO

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Spencer RattlerQB3020/262337.8-0.8-0.03+6.650%-0.0400

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Spencer RattlerQB2105.0+1.2+0.60100%+0.060
Taysom HillTE111.0+1.2+1.17100%+0.061
Alvin KamaraRB10313.1-1.2-0.1230%-0.070
Kendre MillerRB8212.6-2.5-0.3125%-0.060

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Alvin KamaraRB55459.0+2.1+0.4260%+0.070
Chris OlaveWR106989.8+1.9+0.1960%+0.050
Brandin CooksWR112121.0+1.7+1.71100%+0.050
Foster MoreauTE1199.0+0.7+0.70100%+0.030
Kendre MillerRB111111.0+0.6+0.59100%+0.040
Rashid ShaheedWR64284.7-1.2-0.2033%-0.040
Juwan JohnsonTE22157.5-5.1-2.550%-0.140

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Blake GrupeK4/4(34, 48, 38, 54)541/16113

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Kai KroegerP27035.032.047000

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Mason TiptonWR48922.3240

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Rashid ShaheedWR3217.0120