Buccaneers
38–35
TB @ SEA
Seahawks
Final · Sun, Oct 5, 2025 · 2025 Week 5 · Lumen Field
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
TB 49%51% SEA
68.8%GROUND72.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Mayfield | 38 | +0.65 | 55.3% | 2.6% | +24.8 | 7.1 | 90.6% | 70.2% | +20.4 |
| S.Darnold | 34 | +0.69 | 73.5% | 0.0% | +23.4 | 8.1 | 82.3% | 66.0% | +16.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | TB | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.39 | +0.35 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.65 | +0.69 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.15 | -0.13 |
| Success Rate | 50.8% | 59.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 30.5% | 32.2% |
| Yards / Play | 7.24 | 7.85 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.23 | +0.22 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 58.3% | 63.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 9.0 | 7.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 1.50 | 4.33 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 26.3% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 26.3% | 15.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.0 | 28.8 |
| Plays | 59 | 59 |
| Total Yards | 427 | 463 |
| Total EPA | +23.0 | +20.7 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Special Teams
Buccaneers won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
TB 67%33% SEA
8.4 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.2 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Myers 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — TB +3.9
Kickoffs · SEA +1.5Punts · TB +0.9Kicks · TB +4.8
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 38 | 29/33 | 386 | 10.2 | +24.8 | +0.65 | +20.4 | 55% | +0.82 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 14 | 41 | 2.9 | +0.3 | +0.02 | 57% | +0.07 | 2 |
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.40 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Sterling ShepardWR | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | -1.1 | -1.14 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | -1.6 | -0.52 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 7 | 7 | 163 | 23.3 | +16.0 | +2.29 | 100% | +0.52 | 1 |
| Cade OttonTE | 5 | 4 | 81 | 16.2 | +6.7 | +1.35 | 80% | +0.24 | 0 |
| Tez JohnsonWR | 4 | 4 | 59 | 14.8 | +4.2 | +1.05 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 4 | 3 | 26 | 6.5 | +1.8 | +0.45 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 4 | 4 | 30 | 7.5 | +1.3 | +0.32 | 50% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Sterling ShepardWR | 5 | 4 | 24 | 4.8 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 20% | -0.02 | 1 |
| Sean TuckerRB | 3 | 3 | -4 | -1.3 | -2.8 | -0.94 | 0% | -0.08 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase McLaughlinK | 3/3(30, 36, 39) | 39 | 3/3 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley DixonP | 2 | 91 | 45.5 | 45.5 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh WilliamsRB | 5 | 129 | 25.8 | 28 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kameron JohnsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
SEA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam DarnoldQB | 34 | 28/34 | 341 | 10.0 | +23.4 | +0.69 | +16.3 | 74% | +0.78 | 4 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker IIIRB | 10 | 86 | 8.6 | +2.4 | +0.24 | 40% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Zach CharbonnetRB | 9 | 36 | 4.0 | +1.5 | +0.17 | 44% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Jalen MilroeQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -5.4 | -5.44 | 0% | -0.18 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR | 9 | 8 | 132 | 14.7 | +11.0 | +1.22 | 78% | +0.39 | 1 |
| AJ BarnerTE | 7 | 7 | 53 | 7.6 | +6.0 | +0.86 | 100% | +0.35 | 2 |
| Tory HortonWR | 4 | 3 | 39 | 9.8 | +4.7 | +1.18 | 75% | +0.27 | 1 |
| Dareke YoungWR | 1 | 1 | 36 | 36.0 | +2.6 | +2.61 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Elijah ArroyoTE | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +1.1 | +1.08 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kenneth Walker IIIRB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.59 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Cooper KuppWR | 9 | 6 | 59 | 6.6 | -0.7 | -0.07 | 67% | -0.27 | 0 |
| Zach CharbonnetRB | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6.0 | -0.7 | -0.37 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason MyersK | 0/1(missed 44) | — | 5/5 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael DicksonP | 1 | 38 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dareke YoungWR | 5 | 154 | 30.8 | 50 | 0 |
| George HolaniRB | 2 | 42 | 21.0 | 24 | 0 |