Patriots
23–20
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Oct 5, 2025 · 2025 Week 5 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
NE 52%48% BUF
51.1%GROUND47.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Maye | 36 | +0.18 | 52.8% | 11.1% | +6.5 | 8.0 | 78.6% | 64.8% | +13.8 |
| J.Allen | 39 | +0.23 | 56.4% | 2.6% | +8.8 | 8.0 | 73.3% | 67.4% | +5.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.07 | +0.00 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.18 | +0.23 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.15 | -0.36 |
| Success Rate | 47.5% | 48.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 28.8% | 26.5% |
| Yards / Play | 5.73 | 5.34 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.09 | -0.03 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 55.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.9 | 5.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.38 | 2.71 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 35.0% | 40.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 30.0% | 13.6% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 33.9 | 23.1 |
| Plays | 59 | 68 |
| Total Yards | 338 | 363 |
| Total EPA | +3.9 | +0.2 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 3 |
Special Teams
Patriots had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
NE 63%37% BUF
4.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.3 pts won
Biggest swing · A.Borregales 52 yard field goal is GOOD — NE +1.3
Kickoffs · NE +0.1Punts · NE +1.3Kicks · NE +0.2
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 36 | 22/30 | 279 | 7.8 | +6.5 | +0.18 | +13.8 | 53% | +0.33 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 7 | 14 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.07 | 29% | +0.02 | 2 |
| Drake MayeQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.66 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Antonio GibsonRB | 6 | 21 | 3.5 | -0.8 | -0.13 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 6 | 24 | 4.0 | -1.1 | -0.18 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon DiggsWR | 12 | 10 | 146 | 12.2 | +10.1 | +0.84 | 67% | +0.33 | 0 |
| Kayshon BoutteWR | 3 | 3 | 43 | 14.3 | +4.7 | +1.55 | 100% | +0.26 | 0 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 4 | 2 | 46 | 11.5 | +1.5 | +0.37 | 50% | +0.12 | 0 |
| DeMario DouglasWR | 3 | 2 | 17 | 5.7 | -0.1 | -0.02 | 67% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Antonio GibsonRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.2 | -0.16 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | -1.5 | -0.49 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | -4.7 | -2.37 | 50% | -0.13 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy BorregalesK | 3/3(30, 19, 52) | 52 | 2/2 | 5 | 0 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce BaringerP | 4 | 191 | 47.8 | 42.8 | 73 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio GibsonRB | 2 | 49 | 24.5 | 25 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 2 | 40 | 20.0 | 23 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | 23 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus JonesCB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 39 | 22/31 | 295 | 7.6 | +8.8 | +0.23 | +5.9 | 56% | -0.01 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.10 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 15 | 49 | 3.3 | -0.6 | -0.04 | 47% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | -0.9 | -0.43 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Josh AllenQB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -5.0 | -2.48 | 50% | -0.12 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton KincaidTE | 6 | 6 | 108 | 18.0 | +10.2 | +1.70 | 100% | +0.24 | 0 |
| Curtis SamuelWR | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | +2.9 | +1.46 | 100% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Josh PalmerWR | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | +1.8 | +0.91 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dawson KnoxTE | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +1.1 | +0.54 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Tyrell ShaversWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.55 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.68 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 9 | 6 | 45 | 5.0 | -2.0 | -0.22 | 44% | -0.12 | 0 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 7 | 4 | 23 | 3.3 | -4.5 | -0.64 | 43% | -0.12 | 1 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | 2/2(31, 45) | 45 | 2/2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch WishnowskyP | 2 | 70 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis SamuelWR | 3 | 84 | 28.0 | 31 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 24 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil ShakirWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |