Raiders
640
LV @ IND
Colts

Final · Sun, Oct 5, 2025 · 2025 Week 5 · Lucas Oil Stadium

Ground Share

Colts controlled more of the field

Teams with this edge win 86% of the time

LV 39%61% IND
44.9%GROUND70.4%

Win Probability

Preparing chart…

Expected Points

Preparing chart…

QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
G.Smith41-0.2348.8%9.8%-9.36.869.4%69.8%-0.3
D.Jones29+0.5258.6%0.0%+15.27.869.0%70.1%-1.2

Team Stats

MetricLVIND
EPA / Play-0.20+0.34
EPA / Dropback-0.23+0.42
EPA / Rush-0.22+0.16
Success Rate48.5%53.2%
Explosive Play Rate23.5%32.3%
Yards / Play4.355.11
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.40+0.16
3rd/4th-Down Conversion58.8%83.3%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance6.75.2
Line Yards / Carry3.533.12
Opportunity Rate (4+)54.2%36.0%
Stuff Rate12.5%8.0%
Havoc Rate Allowed11.8%8.1%
Avg Starting Field Position26.743.8
Plays6862
Total Yards296317
Total EPA-13.3+21.0
Giveaways20

Special Teams

Colts won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

LV 28%72% IND
3.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.9 pts won

Biggest swing · A.Cole punt is BLOCKED by S.Olubi, recovered by LV-I.Thomas at LV 8IND +4.6

Kickoffs · LV +1.9Punts · IND +6.0Kicks · IND +0.8

Player Stats

LV

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Geno SmithQB4125/361954.8-9.3-0.23-0.349%-0.0502

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Tre TuckerWR199.0+0.8+0.77100%+0.020
Ashton JeantyRB14674.8-0.7-0.0550%+0.010
Geno SmithQB231.5-1.4-0.7050%+0.020
Raheem MostertRB7223.1-3.2-0.4543%+0.000

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Tre TuckerWR646210.3+3.8+0.6467%+0.100
Jakobi MeyersWR64325.3+2.0+0.3467%+0.030
Albert OkwuegbunamTE65366.0+1.6+0.2750%+0.010
Ian ThomasTE33206.7+1.2+0.4067%+0.010
Alex BachmanWR1199.0+0.8+0.82100%+0.000
Ashton JeantyRB75426.0-0.6-0.0829%-0.020
Jack BechWR53275.4-3.4-0.6860%-0.050
Dont'e Thornton Jr.WR2000.0-8.1-4.040%-0.030

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Daniel CarlsonK2/3(24, 37 · missed 57)37306

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Daniel CarlsonK13030.030.030000
AJ ColeP100.00.0001

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Dylan LaubeRB37725.7260
Raheem MostertRB12323.0230

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Alex BachmanWR284.080

IND

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Daniel JonesQB2920/292127.3+15.2+0.52-1.259%+0.3020
Tyler WarrenTE10/100.0-0.5-0.470%-0.0200
Anthony RichardsonQB21/294.5-1.2-0.61-8.150%+0.0000

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Jonathan TaylorRB17663.9+3.5+0.2141%+0.003
Ameer AbdullahRB263.0+1.1+0.56100%+0.001
Daniel JonesQB122.0+0.4+0.44100%+0.020
DJ GiddensRB5224.4+0.1+0.0240%+0.000

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Tyler WarrenTE444411.0+5.0+1.2475%+0.161
Josh DownsWR86546.8+4.7+0.5975%+0.100
Michael PittmanWR65396.5+3.2+0.5467%+0.071
Ashton DulinWR525511.0+3.1+0.6240%-0.020
Anthony RichardsonQB1199.0+0.5+0.46100%+0.000
Jonathan TaylorRB43205.0+0.1+0.0350%+0.030
Bernhard RaimannOT1000.0-0.4-0.370%-0.010
DJ GiddensRB1000.0-0.6-0.590%-0.020
Adonai MitchellWR1000.0-1.7-1.670%+0.000

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Spencer ShraderK2/2102
Rigoberto SanchezP620

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Rigoberto SanchezP210150.546.556200

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Ashton DulinWR24321.5250
Anthony GouldWR13131.0310