Chiefs
28–31
KC @ JAX
Jaguars
Final · Mon, Oct 6, 2025 · 2025 Week 5 · TIAA Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Chiefs controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
KC 58%42% JAX
65.4%GROUND47.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Mahomes | 46 | +0.12 | 69.6% | 0.0% | +5.4 | 9.9 | 72.5% | 66.3% | +6.2 |
| T.Lawrence | 35 | +0.15 | 51.4% | 8.6% | +5.1 | 8.4 | 72.0% | 63.9% | +8.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | KC | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.17 | +0.12 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.12 | +0.15 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.32 | -0.19 |
| Success Rate | 64.1% | 50.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 28.1% | 24.1% |
| Yards / Play | 7.44 | 5.50 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.13 | +0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 55.6% | 58.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.7 | 7.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.50 | 2.68 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 52.9% | 42.1% |
| Stuff Rate | 11.8% | 15.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 9.4% | 13.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.2 | 25.2 |
| Plays | 64 | 58 |
| Total Yards | 476 | 319 |
| Total EPA | +11.2 | +6.9 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 2 |
Special Teams
Jaguars dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
KC 19%81% JAX
1.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.7 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Little 52 yard field goal is GOOD — JAX +1.3
Kickoffs · JAX +3.7Punts · JAX +0.2Kicks · JAX +1.3
Player Stats
KC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 46 | 29/41 | 369 | 8.0 | +5.4 | +0.12 | +6.2 | 70% | +0.12 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem HuntRB | 7 | 49 | 7.0 | +2.8 | +0.40 | 57% | +0.22 | 2 |
| Patrick MahomesQB | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +2.0 | +1.96 | 100% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.9 | +0.90 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 7 | 36 | 5.1 | +0.6 | +0.08 | 29% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Brashard SmithRB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.3 | +0.25 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyquan ThorntonWR | 5 | 3 | 90 | 18.0 | +6.4 | +1.28 | 60% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Travis KelceTE | 8 | 7 | 61 | 7.6 | +3.2 | +0.40 | 88% | +0.17 | 1 |
| Marquise BrownWR | 8 | 4 | 48 | 6.0 | +2.4 | +0.30 | 63% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Brashard SmithRB | 3 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | +1.3 | +0.43 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 3 | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | +1.0 | +0.32 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 9 | 6 | 42 | 4.7 | +0.6 | +0.06 | 56% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Kareem HuntRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.0 | -0.02 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| JuJu Smith-SchusterWR | 3 | 2 | 17 | 5.7 | -11.7 | -3.90 | 67% | -0.41 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison ButkerK | — | — | 4/4 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt AraizaP | 4 | 164 | 41.0 | 41.3 | 55 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brashard SmithRB | 5 | 130 | 26.0 | 31 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikko RemigioWR | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 2 | 0 |
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 35 | 18/25 | 261 | 7.5 | +5.1 | +0.15 | +8.1 | 51% | +0.47 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis EtienneRB | 12 | 49 | 4.1 | +1.4 | +0.12 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | -1.5 | -0.36 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | -3.6 | -1.19 | 33% | -0.11 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis HunterCB | 3 | 3 | 64 | 21.3 | +4.0 | +1.34 | 67% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Brian Thomas Jr.WR | 6 | 4 | 80 | 13.3 | +3.5 | +0.58 | 67% | +0.33 | 0 |
| Brenton StrangeTE | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | +1.3 | +1.30 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Johnny MundtTE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.25 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | -0.04 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Hunter LongTE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.4 | -0.36 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tim PatrickWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.41 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Dyami BrownWR | 4 | 2 | 15 | 3.8 | -0.8 | -0.19 | 25% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2.3 | -3.2 | -0.81 | 25% | -0.11 | 0 |
| Parker WashingtonWR | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5.3 | -3.4 | -1.13 | 67% | -0.11 | 1 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam LittleK | 1/1(52) | 52 | 4/4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan CookeP | 2 | 105 | 52.5 | 51.5 | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 4 | 117 | 29.3 | 38 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker WashingtonWR | 3 | -1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 |