Texans
44–10
HOU @ BAL
Ravens
Final · Sun, Oct 5, 2025 · 2025 Week 5 · M&T Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Texans dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
HOU 71%29% BAL
67.8%GROUND28.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 29 | +0.63 | +18.2 | 7.6 | 85.2% | 65.7% | +19.4 |
| C.Rush | 21 | -0.38 | -7.9 | 8.2 | 70.0% | 70.3% | -0.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | HOU | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.34 | -0.31 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.63 | -0.38 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.05 | -0.32 |
| Success Rate | 60.3% | 39.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 32.4% | 14.0% |
| Yards / Play | 6.16 | 4.81 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.25 | -0.35 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 64.3% | 37.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.53 | 2.12 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 48.3% | 26.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 10.3% | 21.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 4.4% | 11.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 38.2 | 27.0 |
| Plays | 68 | 43 |
| Total Yards | 419 | 207 |
| Total EPA | +23.4 | -13.3 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 3 |
Player Stats
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 30 | 23/27 | 257 | 8.6 | +21.3 | +0.71 | +19.4 | 73% | +0.27 | 4 | 0 |
| Davis MillsQB | 5 | 2/4 | 28 | 5.6 | +0.8 | +0.16 | -5.8 | 60% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| British BrooksRB | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +3.7 | +1.84 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 11 | 61 | 5.5 | +2.1 | +0.19 | 55% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Nico CollinsWR | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.52 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.15 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Dameon PierceRB | 7 | 21 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -0.06 | 29% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 7 | 24 | 3.4 | -3.0 | -0.44 | 29% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton SchultzTE | 6 | 5 | 60 | 10.0 | +5.9 | +0.98 | 83% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Nico CollinsWR | 5 | 4 | 52 | 10.4 | +5.2 | +1.03 | 60% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Christian KirkWR | 4 | 4 | 64 | 16.0 | +4.7 | +1.18 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 3 | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | +3.9 | +1.30 | 67% | +0.04 | 2 |
| Brenden BatesTE | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +2.6 | +1.31 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 4 | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | +1.8 | +0.44 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 3 | 2 | 13 | 4.3 | +1.6 | +0.53 | 67% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Woody MarksRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.50 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.87 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Harrison BryantTE | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | -1.2 | -0.60 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
BAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper RushQB | 21 | 14/20 | 163 | 7.8 | -7.9 | -0.38 | -0.3 | 48% | +0.00 | 0 | 3 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice HillRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.4 | -0.43 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Keaton MitchellRB | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | -0.5 | -0.16 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 15 | 33 | 2.2 | -4.6 | -0.31 | 27% | -0.12 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre HopkinsWR | 2 | 2 | 46 | 23.0 | +3.3 | +1.65 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Zay FlowersWR | 5 | 5 | 72 | 14.4 | +2.4 | +0.49 | 60% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Isaiah LikelyTE | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +2.2 | +2.23 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Charlie KolarTE | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +1.1 | +1.12 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Keaton MitchellRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.2 | -0.16 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Zaire Mitchell-PadenTE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.22 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Justice HillRB | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4.5 | -0.3 | -0.15 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Mark AndrewsTE | 3 | 2 | 22 | 7.3 | -3.2 | -1.05 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Rashod BatemanWR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.5 | -1.49 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -6.3 | -6.31 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |