Broncos
21–17
DEN @ PHI
Eagles
Final · Sun, Oct 5, 2025 · 2025 Week 5 · Lincoln Financial Field
Ground Share
Broncos had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
DEN 56%44% PHI
45.2%GROUND35.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Nix | 42 | +0.10 | +4.2 | 8.2 | 60.0% | 65.9% | +0.8 |
| J.Hurts | 44 | +0.01 | +0.5 | 10.9 | 60.5% | 64.4% | -2.3 |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.03 | +0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.12 | +0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.07 | -0.13 |
| Success Rate | 47.9% | 40.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 24.7% | 16.7% |
| Yards / Play | 4.90 | 5.05 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.07 | +0.11 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 35.3% | 23.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.3 | 9.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.17 | 3.67 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.7% | 44.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 11.1% | 22.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 5.5% | 13.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 28.0 | 22.1 |
| Plays | 73 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 358 | 303 |
| Total EPA | +2.4 | +1.2 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo NixQB | 43 | 24/39 | 248 | 5.8 | +5.1 | +0.12 | +0.8 | 51% | +0.19 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.8 | +0.82 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Bo NixQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.5 | +0.52 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Adam PrenticeFB | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.1 | +0.05 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.19 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| J.K. DobbinsRB | 20 | 79 | 4.0 | -1.7 | -0.09 | 35% | +0.00 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland SuttonWR | 10 | 8 | 99 | 9.9 | +7.8 | +0.78 | 70% | +0.32 | 0 |
| RJ HarveyRB | 3 | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | +3.4 | +1.14 | 100% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Evan EngramTE | 6 | 4 | 33 | 5.5 | +1.0 | +0.17 | 50% | -0.06 | 1 |
| Adam TrautmanTE | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.7 | +0.66 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Tyler BadieRB | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.26 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Troy FranklinWR | 5 | 3 | 35 | 7.0 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 60% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Trent SherfieldWR | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7.5 | +0.1 | +0.05 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| J.K. DobbinsRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.04 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Nate AdkinsTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.91 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Marvin Mims Jr.WR | 5 | 2 | 10 | 2.0 | -3.5 | -0.70 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
PHI
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen HurtsQB | 45 | 23/38 | 261 | 5.8 | +0.5 | +0.01 | -2.3 | 40% | -0.19 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ DillonRB | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.4 | +0.18 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Saquon BarkleyRB | 6 | 30 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.02 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Will ShipleyRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.57 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVonta SmithWR | 10 | 8 | 114 | 11.4 | +6.4 | +0.64 | 60% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Saquon BarkleyRB | 3 | 3 | 58 | 19.3 | +3.9 | +1.29 | 67% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Grant CalcaterraTE | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | +0.8 | +0.41 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| A.J. BrownWR | 8 | 5 | 43 | 5.4 | +0.5 | +0.06 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jahan DotsonWR | 3 | 1 | 24 | 8.0 | -0.1 | -0.03 | 33% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Will ShipleyRB | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -0.50 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Dallas GoedertTE | 9 | 3 | 19 | 2.1 | -1.5 | -0.17 | 33% | -0.11 | 1 |