Commanders
27–34
WAS @ ATL
Falcons

Final · Sun, Sep 28, 2025 · 2025 Week 4 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Ground Share

Falcons had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

WAS 43%57% ATL
50.9%GROUND67.5%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
M.Mariota29+0.1548.3%6.9%+4.311.366.7%63.5%+3.1
M.Penix28+0.6967.9%3.6%+19.210.576.9%65.5%+11.4

Team Stats

MetricWASATL
EPA / Play+0.11+0.27
EPA / Dropback+0.15+0.69
EPA / Rush+0.07-0.09
Success Rate48.0%50.8%
Pass48.3%67.9%
Rush47.6%36.4%
Explosive Play Rate8.0%13.1%
Pass6.9%14.3%
Rush9.5%12.1%
Yards / Play5.887.18
Early-Down EPA / Play+0.05+0.19
3rd/4th-Down Conversion30.0%58.3%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance9.04.5
Line Yards / Carry4.052.81
Opportunity Rate (4+)47.6%36.4%
Stuff Rate19.1%21.2%
Havoc Rate Allowed16.0%9.8%
Avg Starting Field Position35.827.9
Plays5061
Total Yards294438
Total EPA+5.6+16.3
Giveaways11

Special Teams

Commanders won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

WAS 74%26% ATL
7.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.5 pts won

Biggest swing · B.Pinion kicks 64 yards from ATL 35 to WAS 1. L.McCaffrey to ATL 41 for 58 yards. ATL-M.Ford was injured du… — WAS +1.8

Kickoffs · WAS +1.8Punts · ATL +0.2Kicks · WAS +2.8

Player Stats

WAS

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Marcus MariotaQB2916/261565.8+4.3+0.15+3.148%+0.0221

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB7476.7+2.6+0.3886%+0.040
Marcus MariotaQB22010.0+2.5+1.2650%+0.070
Chris MooreWR199.0+0.7+0.72100%+0.000
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB7598.4+0.2+0.0329%-0.010
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR393.0-0.5-0.1533%-0.030
Jeremy McNicholsRB231.5-0.9-0.440%-0.030

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Deebo Samuel Sr.WR667212.0+8.3+1.3883%+0.161
Tay MartinWR111414.0+1.8+1.77100%+0.010
Luke McCaffreyWR32217.0+1.1+0.3667%+0.041
Zach ErtzTE42215.3+0.5+0.1150%-0.020
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB22105.0+0.4+0.1850%+0.000
Jeremy McNicholsRB2100.0-0.9-0.470%-0.020
Chris MooreWR3000.0-2.5-0.840%-0.070
Jaylin LaneWR32186.0-3.8-1.2667%-0.030

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Matt GayK4/4(43, 52, 41, 42)521/17113

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Tress WayP28944.544.547000

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Luke McCaffreyWR619933.2580

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Jaylin LaneWR200.000

ATL

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/DBEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Michael Penix Jr.QB2820/2631311.1+19.2+0.69+11.468%+0.4121

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Michael Penix Jr.QB155.0+0.9+0.94100%+0.020
Bijan RobinsonRB17754.4-0.5-0.0347%+0.001
Tyler AllgeierRB16513.2-2.5-0.1525%+0.011

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Kyle PittsTE557014.0+7.8+1.5780%+0.211
Bijan RobinsonRB5410621.2+7.4+1.4880%+0.150
Drake LondonWR10811011.0+4.0+0.4080%+0.101
Darnell MooneyWR111515.0+1.8+1.75100%+0.050
Casey WashingtonWR31196.3+1.1+0.3833%-0.010
Ray-Ray McCloudWR21-7-3.5-2.5-1.260%-0.060

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
John Parker RomoK2/2(38, 26)384/4——10
Bradley PinionP———710

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Bradley PinionP29246.046.048100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Jamal AgnewWR36923.0280
Ray-Ray McCloudWR25929.5300

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Jamal AgnewWR100.000
Mike FordDB100.000