Panthers
13–42
CAR @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Sep 28, 2025 · 2025 Week 4 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
CAR 42%58% NE
40.6%GROUND55.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Young | 32 | -0.26 | 43.8% | 3.1% | -8.3 | 5.3 | 69.2% | 69.6% | -0.4 |
| D.Maye | 21 | +0.97 | 61.9% | 4.8% | +20.3 | 8.1 | 87.5% | 67.1% | +20.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CAR | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.03 | +0.35 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.04 | +0.88 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.15 | -0.08 |
| Success Rate | 49.3% | 41.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.7% | 32.6% |
| Yards / Play | 4.72 | 6.72 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.11 | +0.27 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 35.3% | 40.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.8 | 6.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.59 | 3.09 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 51.8% | 30.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.2% | 13.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.0 | 38.3 |
| Plays | 69 | 46 |
| Total Yards | 326 | 309 |
| Total EPA | -2.1 | +16.3 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 0 |
Special Teams
Patriots dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
CAR 14%86% NE
3.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS18.3 pts won
Biggest swing · S.Martin punts 30 yards to NE 13. M.Jones for 87 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-C.Woods was injured during the play — NE +6.8
Kickoffs · CAR +0.9Punts · NE +11.4Kicks · NE +4.7
Player Stats
CAR
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy DaltonQB | 6 | 5/6 | 58 | 9.7 | +9.9 | +1.65 | +23.4 | 83% | +0.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Bryce YoungQB | 32 | 18/30 | 142 | 4.4 | -8.3 | -0.26 | -0.4 | 44% | +0.01 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuba HubbardRB | 10 | 49 | 4.9 | +1.6 | +0.16 | 70% | +0.05 | 0 |
| David MooreWR | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +1.0 | +1.03 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Rico DowdleRB | 9 | 32 | 3.6 | -2.7 | -0.30 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Trevor EtienneRB | 7 | 33 | 4.7 | -3.1 | -0.44 | 29% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell EvansTE | 4 | 3 | 23 | 5.8 | +4.4 | +1.10 | 75% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Brycen TremayneWR | 4 | 3 | 36 | 9.0 | +2.1 | +0.54 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| James MitchellTE | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | +1.4 | +0.68 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Tommy TrembleTE | 8 | 5 | 42 | 5.3 | +1.1 | +0.14 | 50% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Hunter RenfrowWR | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | +1.0 | +0.51 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Chuba HubbardRB | 3 | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | +0.6 | +0.20 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tetairoa McMillanWR | 8 | 4 | 62 | 7.8 | -0.6 | -0.08 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Rico DowdleRB | 1 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -1.7 | -1.70 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzgeraldK | 0/1(missed 55) | — | 1/2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam MartinP | 5 | 231 | 46.2 | 8.8 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rico DowdleRB | 4 | 100 | 25.0 | 30 | 0 |
| Trevor EtienneRB | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | 21 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter RenfrowWR | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 13 | 0 |
| Trevor EtienneRB | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 8 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeQB | 21 | 14/17 | 214 | 10.2 | +20.3 | +0.97 | +20.4 | 62% | +0.13 | 2 | 0 |
| Joshua DobbsQB | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.85 | -56.4 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio GibsonRB | 6 | 27 | 4.5 | +1.3 | +0.22 | 50% | +0.04 | 1 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 7 | 32 | 4.6 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 29% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Kyle WilliamsWR | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -0.6 | -0.64 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 9 | 38 | 4.2 | -2.4 | -0.26 | 11% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon DiggsWR | 7 | 6 | 101 | 14.4 | +9.9 | +1.41 | 71% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Hunter HenryTE | 2 | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | +5.6 | +2.80 | 100% | +0.01 | 1 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +2.6 | +1.33 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Mack HollinsWR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +2.5 | +2.46 | 100% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Austin HooperTE | 1 | 1 | 24 | 24.0 | +1.7 | +1.68 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Kayshon BoutteWR | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6.0 | -1.1 | -0.38 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Rhamondre StevensonRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -1.2 | -1.17 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy BorregalesK | — | — | 6/6 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce BaringerP | 4 | 205 | 51.3 | 46.5 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio GibsonRB | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | 28 | 0 |
| TreVeyon HendersonRB | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 20 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus JonesCB | 3 | 167 | 55.7 | 87 | 1 |