Ravens
20–37
BAL @ KC
Chiefs
Final · Sun, Sep 28, 2025 · 2025 Week 4 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Ground Share
Chiefs had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BAL 43%57% KC
49.7%GROUND66.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.Jackson | 27 | -0.10 | 51.8% | 11.1% | -2.8 | 6.2 | 77.8% | 71.1% | +6.7 |
| P.Mahomes | 40 | +0.38 | 52.5% | 2.5% | +15.4 | 7.1 | 71.4% | 65.6% | +5.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BAL | KC |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.07 | +0.21 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.22 | +0.38 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.41 | +0.01 |
| Success Rate | 44.4% | 43.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 24.1% | 29.6% |
| Yards / Play | 6.67 | 5.42 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.24 | +0.14 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 28.6% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.6 | 6.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 6.21 | 3.28 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 61.5% | 39.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 15.4% | 14.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.6 | 42.2 |
| Plays | 54 | 71 |
| Total Yards | 360 | 385 |
| Total EPA | -4.0 | +14.9 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
BAL 52%48% KC
5.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.3 pts won
Biggest swing · H.Butker 56 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — BAL +3.7
Kickoffs · KC +2.7Punts · KC +0.8Kicks · BAL +3.9
Player Stats
BAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar JacksonQB | 27 | 14/20 | 183 | 6.8 | -2.8 | -0.10 | +6.7 | 52% | -0.05 | 1 | 1 |
| Cooper RushQB | 13 | 9/13 | 52 | 4.0 | -5.8 | -0.45 | +7.1 | 39% | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice HillRB | 3 | 76 | 25.3 | +6.3 | +2.09 | 67% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Lamar JacksonQB | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | +0.3 | +0.17 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 8 | 42 | 5.3 | -1.3 | -0.16 | 25% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay FlowersWR | 8 | 7 | 74 | 9.3 | +4.3 | +0.54 | 75% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Justice HillRB | 6 | 5 | 41 | 6.8 | +2.5 | +0.41 | 50% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Rashod BatemanWR | 2 | 1 | 24 | 12.0 | +0.8 | +0.40 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Derrick HenryRB | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5.3 | +0.5 | +0.16 | 67% | -0.01 | 0 |
| DeAndre HopkinsWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.11 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Tylan WallaceWR | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7.0 | -0.1 | -0.06 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Mark AndrewsTE | 8 | 7 | 30 | 3.8 | -4.2 | -0.53 | 50% | -0.08 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler LoopK | 2/2(43, 32) | 43 | 2/2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan StoutP | 1 | 50 | 50.0 | 35.0 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice HillRB | 5 | 133 | 26.6 | 30 | 0 |
| Rasheen AliRB | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | 21 | 0 |
KC
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 40 | 25/37 | 270 | 6.8 | +15.4 | +0.38 | +5.9 | 53% | +0.26 | 4 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier WorthyWR | 2 | 38 | 19.0 | +2.9 | +1.45 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Kareem HuntRB | 13 | 34 | 2.6 | +1.9 | +0.14 | 39% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 7 | 35 | 5.0 | -0.3 | -0.05 | 29% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Patrick MahomesQB | 2 | -1 | -0.5 | -1.7 | -0.87 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Brashard SmithRB | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | -2.4 | -0.60 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier WorthyWR | 8 | 5 | 83 | 10.4 | +6.7 | +0.83 | 63% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Marquise BrownWR | 5 | 3 | 38 | 7.6 | +3.6 | +0.73 | 60% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Travis KelceTE | 5 | 5 | 48 | 9.6 | +3.2 | +0.65 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Kareem HuntRB | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.7 | +1.66 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| JuJu Smith-SchusterWR | 6 | 4 | 36 | 6.0 | +1.3 | +0.21 | 50% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Isiah PachecoRB | 3 | 2 | 13 | 4.3 | +1.2 | +0.41 | 33% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Brashard SmithRB | 4 | 3 | 27 | 6.8 | +1.0 | +0.25 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tyquan ThorntonWR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.7 | +0.33 | 50% | -0.04 | 1 |
| Noah GrayTE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.6 | -0.56 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison ButkerK | 3/4(38, 23, 31 · missed 56) | 38 | 4/4 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt AraizaP | 1 | 37 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brashard SmithRB | 2 | 55 | 27.5 | 34 | 0 |
| Nikko RemigioWR | 1 | 47 | 47.0 | 47 | 0 |
| Jalen RoyalsWR | 1 | 30 | 30.0 | 30 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikko RemigioWR | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 15 | 0 |