Jets
27–29
NYJ @ TB
Buccaneers
Final · Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 3 · Raymond James Stadium
Ground Share
Buccaneers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NYJ 44%56% TB
38.3%GROUND48.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Taylor | 39 | -0.20 | -7.8 | 4.6 | 74.3% | 66.8% | +7.5 |
| B.Mayfield | 30 | +0.28 | +8.3 | 8.0 | 65.5% | 64.3% | +1.2 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NYJ | TB |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.13 | -0.01 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.12 | +0.42 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.35 | -0.41 |
| Success Rate | 46.3% | 32.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 16.4% | 25.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.00 | 4.90 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.03 | +0.06 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 28.6% | 26.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.9 | 10.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.53 | 2.01 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.0% | 36.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 26.7% | 30.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.9% | 12.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 30.1 | 35.0 |
| Plays | 67 | 71 |
| Total Yards | 268 | 348 |
| Total EPA | -8.7 | -0.9 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Player Stats
NYJ
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrod TaylorQB | 46 | 26/35 | 217 | 4.7 | -5.6 | -0.12 | +7.5 | 50% | -0.31 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braelon AllenRB | 6 | 30 | 5.0 | -2.3 | -0.38 | 50% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Breece HallRB | 9 | 21 | 2.3 | -3.4 | -0.38 | 11% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler JohnsonWR | 3 | 2 | 32 | 10.7 | +1.3 | +0.43 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Braelon AllenRB | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | +1.1 | +0.54 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Allen LazardWR | 3 | 2 | 13 | 4.3 | +0.9 | +0.31 | 33% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Breece HallRB | 6 | 4 | 31 | 5.2 | -0.2 | -0.03 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Arian SmithWR | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | -0.6 | -0.31 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Garrett WilsonWR | 13 | 10 | 84 | 6.5 | -1.3 | -0.10 | 46% | -0.11 | 1 |
| Mason TaylorTE | 6 | 4 | 18 | 3.0 | -1.6 | -0.28 | 50% | -0.07 | 0 |
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 33 | 19/29 | 270 | 8.2 | +13.7 | +0.41 | +1.2 | 52% | +0.52 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | -2.4 | -0.47 | 40% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 25 | 66 | 2.6 | -10.2 | -0.41 | 8% | -0.15 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling ShepardWR | 5 | 4 | 80 | 16.0 | +6.2 | +1.25 | 80% | +0.26 | 0 |
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 8 | 6 | 85 | 10.6 | +4.3 | +0.54 | 63% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 4 | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | +0.9 | +0.22 | 25% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Mike EvansWR | 9 | 4 | 33 | 3.7 | +0.3 | +0.03 | 44% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Tez JohnsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.25 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Rachaad WhiteRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.42 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ryan MillerWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -1.20 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |