Dolphins
21–31
MIA @ BUF
Bills
Final · Thu, Sep 18, 2025 · 2025 Week 3 · New Era Field
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
MIA 45%55% BUF
45.5%GROUND56.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Tagovailoa | 35 | +0.05 | 40.0% | 0.0% | +1.7 | 5.8 | 66.7% | 68.3% | -1.7 |
| J.Allen | 32 | +0.38 | 59.4% | 6.3% | +12.1 | 3.4 | 81.5% | 73.8% | +7.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | MIA | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.03 | +0.26 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.05 | +0.38 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.06 | +0.12 |
| Success Rate | 39.3% | 53.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 31.1% | 31.7% |
| Yards / Play | 4.52 | 6.00 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.25 | +0.27 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 68.8% | 54.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.4 | 4.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.92 | 4.02 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 58.3% | 48.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 8.3% | 16.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 32.6 | 28.9 |
| Plays | 61 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 276 | 360 |
| Total EPA | +2.1 | +15.7 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Special Teams
Dolphins won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
MIA 70%30% BUF
8.9 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.8 pts won
Biggest swing · M.Prater 39 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — MIA +3.9
Kickoffs · MIA +1.0Punts · MIA +1.3Kicks · MIA +2.7
Player Stats
MIA
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tua TagovailoaQB | 35 | 22/34 | 154 | 4.4 | +1.7 | +0.05 | -1.7 | 40% | +0.08 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Gordon IIRB | 9 | 38 | 4.2 | +2.3 | +0.25 | 44% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +0.3 | +0.17 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| De'Von AchaneRB | 12 | 62 | 5.2 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 42% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Tua TagovailoaQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -1.3 | -1.25 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek HillWR | 10 | 5 | 49 | 4.9 | +5.2 | +0.52 | 50% | +0.25 | 1 |
| Jaylen WaddleWR | 6 | 5 | 39 | 6.5 | +2.5 | +0.42 | 67% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Tanner ConnerTE | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6.5 | -0.1 | -0.04 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Julian HillTE | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.3 | -0.25 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 5 | 3 | 19 | 3.8 | -2.1 | -0.42 | 20% | -0.09 | 0 |
| De'Von AchaneRB | 9 | 7 | 22 | 2.4 | -4.6 | -0.51 | 22% | -0.14 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley PattersonK | — | — | 3/3 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake BaileyP | 4 | 200 | 50.0 | 46.3 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee EskridgeWR | 3 | 104 | 34.7 | 54 | 0 |
| Malik WashingtonWR | 2 | 48 | 24.0 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik WashingtonWR | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 11 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 32 | 22/28 | 226 | 7.1 | +12.1 | +0.38 | +7.7 | 59% | +0.43 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James CookRB | 19 | 108 | 5.7 | +2.4 | +0.13 | 42% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Josh AllenQB | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | +0.6 | +0.30 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | +0.5 | +0.15 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.3 | +0.27 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton KincaidTE | 6 | 5 | 66 | 11.0 | +5.0 | +0.83 | 67% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Khalil ShakirWR | 4 | 4 | 45 | 11.3 | +4.0 | +1.00 | 100% | +0.26 | 1 |
| Tyrell ShaversWR | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | +3.0 | +1.48 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Jackson HawesTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +1.2 | +1.24 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Keon ColemanWR | 4 | 3 | 20 | 5.0 | +1.1 | +0.28 | 75% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Josh PalmerWR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.19 | 100% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Elijah MooreWR | 3 | 2 | 30 | 10.0 | -0.3 | -0.08 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ray DavisRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.41 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.4 | -0.21 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| James CookRB | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | -0.9 | -0.32 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | 1/2(48 · missed 39) | 48 | 4/4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron JohnstonP | 2 | 95 | 47.5 | 36.5 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon CodringtonCB | 3 | 95 | 31.7 | 33 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon CodringtonCB | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 15 | 0 |