Texans
10–17
HOU @ JAX
Jaguars
Final · Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 3 · TIAA Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
HOU 51%49% JAX
33.7%GROUND33.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Stroud | 42 | -0.19 | 38.1% | 4.8% | -7.9 | 7.7 | 69.4% | 68.0% | +1.5 |
| T.Lawrence | 43 | -0.18 | 34.9% | 4.7% | -7.9 | 8.4 | 52.6% | 69.7% | -17.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | HOU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.20 | -0.14 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.19 | -0.18 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.26 | -0.19 |
| Success Rate | 33.3% | 37.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 13.3% | 17.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.53 | 4.23 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.18 | -0.10 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 31.3% | 27.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.4 | 8.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.80 | 2.99 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 46.7% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 0.0% | 13.6% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.0% | 11.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 32.8 | 26.3 |
| Plays | 60 | 69 |
| Total Yards | 272 | 292 |
| Total EPA | -12.1 | -9.9 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
HOU 48%52% JAX
8.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS8.8 pts won
Biggest swing · K.Fairbairn 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — JAX +3.8
Kickoffs · HOU +0.8Punts · JAX +1.0Kicks · JAX +0.5
Player Stats
HOU
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. StroudQB | 42 | 25/37 | 207 | 4.9 | -7.9 | -0.19 | +1.5 | 38% | -0.26 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick ChubbRB | 9 | 38 | 4.2 | -1.1 | -0.12 | 22% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 6 | 27 | 4.5 | -2.8 | -0.47 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico CollinsWR | 11 | 8 | 104 | 9.4 | +4.0 | +0.36 | 46% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Dalton SchultzTE | 6 | 5 | 39 | 6.5 | +1.8 | +0.30 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jayden HigginsWR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.7 | +0.72 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Xavier HutchinsonWR | 3 | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jaylin NoelWR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.3 | -0.25 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Woody MarksRB | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4.5 | -0.6 | -0.28 | 50% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Nick ChubbRB | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | -1.8 | -0.45 | 25% | -0.11 | 0 |
| Christian KirkWR | 8 | 3 | 25 | 3.1 | -7.8 | -0.97 | 25% | -0.17 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ka'imi FairbairnK | 1/2(27 · missed 52) | 27 | 1/1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy TownsendP | 6 | 261 | 43.5 | 40.7 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 2 | 53 | 26.5 | 30 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin NoelWR | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 11 | 0 |
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 43 | 20/40 | 215 | 5.0 | -7.9 | -0.18 | -17.0 | 35% | -0.16 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 6 | 21 | 3.5 | -0.9 | -0.15 | 67% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 16 | 56 | 3.5 | -1.8 | -0.11 | 31% | +0.11 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenton StrangeTE | 7 | 6 | 61 | 8.7 | +2.1 | +0.30 | 71% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Travis HunterCB | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10.5 | +1.3 | +0.66 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Tim PatrickWR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +0.9 | +0.88 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Brian Thomas Jr.WR | 6 | 2 | 55 | 9.2 | +0.4 | +0.06 | 33% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Johnny MundtTE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.4 | +0.36 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Dyami BrownWR | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2.3 | +0.2 | +0.07 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | -0.5 | -0.51 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Hunter LongTE | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4.0 | -0.5 | -0.18 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Bhayshul TutenRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.71 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Travis EtienneRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -0.63 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Parker WashingtonWR | 11 | 4 | 34 | 3.1 | -8.0 | -0.73 | 18% | -0.24 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam LittleK | 1/2(39 · missed 47) | 39 | 2/2 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan CookeP | 6 | 293 | 48.8 | 43.7 | 60 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeQuint Allen Jr.RB | 2 | 48 | 24.0 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker WashingtonWR | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 13 | 0 |