Falcons
030
ATL @ CAR
Panthers

Final · Sun, Sep 21, 2025 · 2025 Week 3 · Bank of America Stadium

Ground Share

Panthers had the edge on the field

Teams with this edge win 71% of the time

ATL 44%56% CAR
38.9%GROUND48.7%

Win Probability

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Expected Points

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QB Matchup

QBPlaysEPA/playSuccess%Sack%Total EPAaDoTCMP%xCMP%CPOE
M.Penix38-0.5131.6%0.0%-19.59.152.9%65.5%-12.6
B.Young27-0.0344.4%3.7%-0.95.566.7%68.0%-1.3

Team Stats

MetricATLCAR
EPA / Play-0.34-0.01
EPA / Dropback-0.50-0.03
EPA / Rush+0.01-0.04
Success Rate36.4%47.4%
Explosive Play Rate15.2%15.8%
Yards / Play5.033.95
Early-Down EPA / Play-0.20-0.02
3rd/4th-Down Conversion31.3%40.0%
Avg 3rd-Down Distance6.56.1
Line Yards / Carry4.573.18
Opportunity Rate (4+)57.1%55.6%
Stuff Rate0.0%14.8%
Havoc Rate Allowed6.1%8.8%
Avg Starting Field Position22.442.3
Plays6657
Total Yards332225
Total EPA-22.4-0.3
Giveaways30

Special Teams

Panthers won the kicking game

Teams with this edge win 63% of the time

ATL 23%77% CAR
5.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS17.2 pts won

Biggest swing · B.Pinion punts 41 yards to CAR 29. T.Etienne MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by ATL-D.Hellams at CAR 33ATL +4.9

Kickoffs · CAR +4.7Punts · ATL +3.0Kicks · CAR +10.5

Player Stats

ATL

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Kirk CousinsQB75/7294.1-3.0-0.43-8.329%+0.0000
Michael Penix Jr.QB3818/361814.8-19.5-0.51-12.532%-0.2502

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Bijan RobinsonRB13725.5+1.0+0.0846%-0.040
Tyler AllgeierRB144.0-0.1-0.110%+0.000
Nate CarterRB7466.6-0.7-0.1057%+0.000

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Drake LondonWR85556.9+2.6+0.3363%+0.020
David SillsWR2194.5+0.3+0.1350%+0.000
Kyle PittsTE64396.5-1.1-0.1933%-0.050
Tyler AllgeierRB2100.0-1.3-0.640%-0.010
Charlie WoernerTE11-5-5.0-1.8-1.750%-0.040
Bijan RobinsonRB65396.5-4.3-0.7133%-0.040
Darnell MooneyWR114444.0-5.9-0.5418%-0.060
Ray-Ray McCloudWR52204.0-9.0-1.8020%-0.050

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Bradley PinionP100
John Parker RomoK0/2(missed 49, 55)0

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Bradley PinionP39632.032.041100

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Ray-Ray McCloudWR23216.0170
Natrone BrooksDB22713.5190
Nate CarterRB1-1-1.0-10

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Ray-Ray McCloudWR300.000

CAR

Dropbacks

PlayerDBC/AttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlayCPOESRWPATDINT
Bryce YoungQB2716/241224.5-0.9-0.03-1.344%+0.0700

Rush attempts

PlayerAttYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Rico DowdleRB10303.0+2.2+0.2260%-0.021
Chuba HubbardRB17734.3-1.8-0.1147%+0.030

Pass targets

PlayerTgtRecYdsYds/PlayEPAEPA/PlaySRWPATD
Ja'Tavion SandersTE22115.5+1.4+0.71100%+0.000
Brycen TremayneWR22157.5+0.9+0.43100%+0.010
Mitchell EvansTE1199.0+0.8+0.81100%+0.020
Rico DowdleRB1188.0+0.7+0.71100%+0.010
Tommy TrembleTE22168.0+0.5+0.2450%+0.010
Tetairoa McMillanWR83486.0+0.1+0.0138%+0.050
David MooreWR1155.0-0.3-0.300%-0.010
Chuba HubbardRB3231.0-1.2-0.390%-0.010
Hunter RenfrowWR4261.5-3.2-0.800%-0.050

Kicking

PlayerFGLongXPKOTBPts
Ryan FitzgeraldK3/3(57, 35, 41)573/37212

Punting

PlayerNoYdsAvgNetLongIn 20TBBlk
Sam MartinP313545.045.054200

Kick returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
Rico DowdleRB12121.0210

Punt returns

PlayerNoYdsAvgLongTD
David MooreWR100.000
Trevor EtienneRB100.000